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Epidemiologic transition in mortality rate from circulatory diseases in Brazil
Antonio de Padua Mansur1, Adriano Ibrahim A Lopes, Desidério Favarato
1Instituto do Coração, HC, FM, USP, São Paulo, SP, Brasil. pmansur@cardiol.br
Insights
In Brazil, ischemic heart diseases (IHD) now cause more deaths than cerebrovascular diseases (CVD), a shift from previous trends. This study analyzed the changing CVD/IHD ratio in adults over 30.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular epidemiology
- Public health research
- Mortality statistics analysis
Background:
- Circulatory diseases (CD) are the leading cause of death in Brazil, with cerebrovascular diseases (CVD) historically predominant.
- Developed countries typically show a higher incidence of ischemic heart diseases (IHD).
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the ratio of cerebrovascular diseases to ischemic heart diseases (CVD/IHD) in Brazilian males and females aged 30 and older.
- To analyze trends in CVD/IHD ratios over time and across different age groups.
Main Methods:
- Utilized mortality data and population estimates from Brazil's Ministry of Health (1980-2005).
- Calculated the risk of death from IHD and CVD per 100,000 individuals.
- Analyzed the CVD/IHD ratio across 10-year age brackets, adjusting for the 1960 world population standard.
Main Results:
- Both IHD and CVD death risks increased exponentially with age.
- Ischemic heart diseases (IHD) surpassed cerebrovascular diseases (CVD) as the leading cause of death in Brazil around 1996.
- Overall CD death risk decreased by 33.25% in Brazil (45.44% in São Paulo) between 1980-2005.
- The CVD/IHD ratio was higher in women, decreasing over time, while it remained below 1 for men across all age groups.
Conclusions:
- Brazil has experienced a significant transition in circulatory disease mortality, with a current predominance of ischemic heart diseases (IHD).
- The findings highlight evolving patterns in cardiovascular disease burden within the Brazilian population.
Background:
Circulatory diseases (CD) are the major cause of death in Brazil, being cerebrovascular diseases (CVD) predominant. In developed countries ischemic heart diseases (IHD) predominate.
Objective:
The objective of the present study was to investigate the ratio between cerebrovascular diseases/ischemic heart diseases (CVD/IHD) in males and females who were 30 years of age and older.
Methods:
Population estimates and mortality data for CD, IHD and CVD were provided by the Ministry of Health for the period between 1980 and 2005. The risk of death from IHD and CVD per 100,000 Brazilians and CVD/IHD ratio were analyzed in 10-year age ranges as of 30 years of age. The risk of death was adjusted by direct method by using 1960 world population as the standard population.
Results:
It was observed that the risk of death from IHD and CVD increased exponentially as age advanced. CVD was the major cause of death in Brazil until 1996, when IHD took the lead. In the period between 1980 and 2005 a 33.25% reduction in death risk from CD was observed in the Brazilian population. In that same period, the metropolitan area of the capital city of São Paulo reported a 45.44% reduction. The CVD/IHD ratio was shown to be higher among younger women - from 2.53 in 1980 down to 2.04 in 2005 in the Brazilian population, and from 2.76 in 1980 down to 1.96 in the metropolitan area of the capital city of São Paulo, with decreasing figures for subsequent age ranges. Among males, the CVD/IHD ratio was close to < 1 in all age ranges.
Conclusion:
A transition in death risk from CD could be observed in Brazil, with current predominance of IHD.
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