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Pump failure death and sudden cardiac death in patients with cardiac dysfunction: a search for prognostic predictive
Hiroki Usuku1, Masafumi Nakayama, Hitoshi Sumida
1Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kumamoto University, 1-1-1 Honjo, Kumamoto City 860-8556, Japan. uhuhuhuh@kumamoto-u.ac.jp
Insights
Predicting long-term heart failure death is crucial. B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) predicts pump failure death, while estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) predicts sudden cardiac death in myocardial infarction patients.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Biomarkers
- Renal Function
Background:
- Long-term prediction of heart failure mortality remains challenging.
- Heart failure deaths are categorized into pump failure and sudden cardiac death.
- Few studies have comprehensively analyzed predictive factors for these distinct mortality types.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify independent predictors for pump failure death and sudden cardiac death in patients with myocardial infarction (MI) and non-ischemic heart failure (NIHF).
- To elucidate the long-term prognostic value of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in heart failure mortality.
Main Methods:
- Prospective follow-up of 186 MI patients and 115 NIHF patients for approximately 73 months.
- Multivariate analysis to determine independent predictors of mortality.
- Kaplan-Meier analysis to assess survival rates based on biomarker levels.
Main Results:
- Log B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels independently predicted pump failure death in both MI and NIHF groups.
- Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) independently predicted sudden cardiac death specifically in MI patients.
- High BNP levels were associated with increased pump failure death risk; low eGFR was linked to higher sudden cardiac death rates in MI patients.
Conclusions:
- Plasma BNP levels serve as a robust independent predictor for pump failure death across both ischemic and non-ischemic heart failure etiologies.
- Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is a significant independent predictor for sudden cardiac death in patients with myocardial infarction.
Background:
There have been few reports that have analyzed the predictive factors for heart failure death, which is sub-divided into pump failure death and sudden cardiac death, in the long term.
Methods And Results:
We followed 186 consecutive patients with myocardial infarction (MI) and 115 consecutive patients with non-ischemic heart failure (NIHF) during 73+/-3 months. In the MI group, 26 died from pump failure and 12 died from sudden cardiac death. In the NIHF group, 21 died from pump failure and 9 died from sudden cardiac death. Multivariate analysis revealed that the log B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) was an independent predictor for pump failure death in both groups. In the MI group, the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was an independent predictor for sudden cardiac death. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that a high BNP level was a risk factor for pump failure death in either MI or NIHF patients. On the other hand, the sudden cardiac death rate was significantly higher in the MI patients with low eGFR than in those with high eGFR.
Conclusions:
The plasma BNP level is an independent predictor for pump failure death in both MI and NIHF patients. The eGFR is an independent predictor for sudden cardiac death in MI patients.
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