Total adiponectin does not predict cardiovascular events in middle-aged men in a prospective, long-term follow-up...

Plasma total adiponectin is a marker of insulin resistance, but its role in predicting cardiovascular events is unclear. We aimed to investigate the role of adiponectin as a predictor of cardiovascular risk in middle-aged men, and to describe the association between adiponectin and glucose metabolism.

In this population-based prospective study of middle-aged men (n=3885), total adiponectin was analyzed. All individuals had undergone an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTTs), and the mean follow-up duration was 27 years. Regression analyses were carried out for indices of glucose metabolism in relation to quintiles (Q1-Q5) of total adiponectin levels. After stratification for smoking or not, the association between total adiponectin and the first incidence of fatal or non-fatal cardiovascular disease (CVD) was analyzed, using Cox's proportional-hazards regression model.

In a separate multiple-regression analysis and after adjusting for possible confounders, the relationship between adiponectin levels and markers of glucose metabolism were found to be significant (P<0.05). However, adiponectin did not independently predict the risk of stroke, coronary events, or a combination of these two outcomes.

Levels of total plasma adiponectin are not useful for predicting long-term cardiovascular events in middle-aged men, but are strongly associated with glucose metabolism and markers of insulin resistance.