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[Comparative study on three algorithms of the ICD-10 Charlson comorbidity index with myocardial infarction patients]
1Review & Assessment Policy Institute, Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service, Korea. rudgns112@hiramail.net
Insights
The Quan algorithm effectively predicts in-hospital mortality in myocardial infarction (MI) patients using claims data. A 1-year lookback with primary and first secondary diagnoses is sufficient for accurate comorbidity assessment.
Area of Science:
- Health Services Research
- Medical Informatics
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Accurate comorbidity assessment is crucial for predicting patient outcomes.
- International Statistical Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision (ICD-10) translations of the Charlson comorbidity index vary in performance.
- Myocardial infarction (MI) patients present a significant challenge for outcome prediction.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the performance of three ICD-10 translations of the Charlson comorbidities.
- To evaluate their effectiveness in predicting in-hospital mortality among MI patients.
Main Methods:
- Utilized claims data from 20,280 MI patients admitted in 2006.
- Compared three algorithms (Halfon, Sundararajan, Quan) with varying lookback periods, data ranges, and diagnosis ranges.
- Assessed performance using the c-statistic from logistic regression, with bootstrapping for confidence intervals.
Main Results:
- The Quan and Sundararajan algorithms showed higher comorbidity prevalence than Halfon.
- The Quan algorithm demonstrated slightly higher, though not statistically significant, predictive ability.
- Extended lookback periods, additional data sources, or broader diagnosis ranges did not improve predictive accuracy.
Conclusions:
- The Quan Algorithm, using a 1-year lookback and focusing on primary and first secondary diagnoses, is adequate for predicting in-hospital mortality in MI patients.
- This approach is efficient for health services research utilizing health insurance claims data.
Objectives:
To compare the performance of three International Statistical Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision translations of the Charlson comorbidities when predicting in-hospital among patients with myocardial infarction (MI).
Methods:
MI patients > or =20 years of age with the first admission during 2006 were identified(n=20,280). Charlson comorbidities were drawn from Heath Insurance Claims Data managed by Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service in Korea. Comparisions for various conditions included (a) three algorithms (Halfon, Sundararajan, and Quan algorithms), (b) lookback periods (1-, 3- and 5-years), (c) data range (admission data, admission and ambulatory data), and (d) diagnosis range (primary diagnosis and first secondary diagnoses, all diagnoses). The performance of each procedure was measured with the c-statistic derived from multiple logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, admission type and Charlson comorbidity index. A bootstrapping procedure was done to determine the approximate 95% confidence interval.
Results:
Among the 20,280 patients, the mean age was 63.3 years, 67.8% were men and 7.1% died while hospitalized. The Quan and Sundararajan algorithms produced higher prevalences than the Halfon algorithm. The c-statistic of the Quan algorithm was slightly higher, but not significantly different, than that of other two algorithms under all conditions. There was no evidence that on longer lookback periods, additional data, and diagnoses improved the predictive ability.
Conclusions:
In health services study of MI patients using Health Insurance Claims Data, the present results suggest that the Quan Algorithm using a 1-year lookback involving primary diagnosis and the first secondary diagnosis is adequate in predicting in-hospital mortality.
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