Seasonal variation of Legionnaires' disease in Scotland

A summer and autumn peak in incidence is a characteristic epidemiological feature of Legionnaires' disease, a fact which may help in diagnosis. Previous reports from Scotland have reported a winter peak. This study examined the seasonal variation in Legionnaires' disease in Scotland in each year and by category of diagnosis. A characteristic summer/autumn peak was seen for travel-related infection. For non-travel infection, there was an autumnal peak between 1978 and 1982 but an early winter peak between 1983 and 1986. Overall, the pattern could be described as a summer/autumn plateau reaching a peak in early winter. This pattern, seen in men and women, was clearest in the Greater Glasgow area. Nosocomial cases were clustered in the months of October, November and December. In non-travel cases the classical seasonal pattern was not observed and clinicians cannot rely upon this epidemiological feature for diagnosis. However, the relative infrequency of the disease between January and May was a consistent and potentially useful feature. Most reports on seasonal variation are based on aggregated data on travel and non-travel cases. The present observations question the hypotheses developed to explain the seasonal pattern and call for further studies.