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Influence of blood pressure reduction on composite cardiovascular endpoints in clinical trials
Paolo Verdecchia1, Giorgio Gentile, Fabio Angeli
1Department of Cardiology, Hospital 'Santa Maria della Misericordia', Perugia, Italy. verdec@tin.it
Insights
Lowering blood pressure (BP) significantly reduces the risk of major cardiovascular events in clinical trials. A difference of 4.6 mmHg systolic or 2.2 mmHg diastolic BP reduction is needed to show a significant impact on composite cardiovascular endpoints (CCEP).
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Clinical Trials Methodology
- Hypertension Research
Background:
- Composite cardiovascular endpoints (CCEP) are widely used in clinical trials.
- The precise relationship between blood pressure (BP) reduction and CCEP risk is not well-established.
Purpose of the Study:
- To meta-analyze the association between BP reduction and CCEP risk across multiple clinical trials.
- To quantify the BP reduction necessary to achieve a statistically significant decrease in CCEP.
Main Methods:
- Conducted a meta-analysis of 30 trials involving 221,024 patients comparing BP-lowering agents to placebo or active treatments.
- Utilized triple (myocardial infarction, stroke, cardiovascular death) or quadruple (including congestive heart failure) CCEP as the primary outcome measure.
- Employed multivariable meta-regression to analyze the impact of systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) reduction on CCEP risk.
Main Results:
- BP-lowering treatments reduced CCEP risk by 9% overall (P < 0.0001).
- Each 5-mmHg reduction in SBP was associated with a 13% decreased CCEP risk (P = 0.001).
- Each 2-mmHg reduction in DBP was associated with a 12% decreased CCEP risk (P = 0.001).
- A minimum SBP reduction of 4.6 mmHg or DBP reduction of 2.2 mmHg was required for a 95% prediction interval below unity.
Conclusions:
- Blood pressure reduction is a critical factor in mitigating CCEP risk in clinical trial settings.
- A difference of at least 4.6 mmHg in SBP or 2.2 mmHg in DBP between treatment groups is likely needed to demonstrate a significant reduction in CCEP.
Background:
The use of a composite cardiovascular endpoint (CCEP) is frequent in clinical trials. However, the relation between the reduction in blood pressure (BP) and the risk of CCEP is poorly known.
Methods:
We conducted a meta-analysis of trials, which compared different BP-lowering agents with placebo or active treatments in patients with hypertension or composite features of high cardiovascular risk. The outcome measure was a triple (myocardial infarction, stroke and cardiovascular death) or quadruple (those mentioned above and congestive heart failure) CCEP.
Results:
Thirty trials fulfilled the inclusion criteria, for a total of 221 024 patients. Experimental treatments reduced the risk of CCEP by 9% (P < 0.0001). In a multivariable meta-regression analysis, for each 5-mmHg reduction in SBP, there was a 13% less risk of CCEP (95% confidence interval 8-19, P = 0.001) and, for each 2-mmHg reduction in DBP, there was a 12% less risk of CCEP (95% confidence interval 7-16, P = 0.001). Use of triple or quadruple CCEP (P = 0.150), its definition as primary or nonprimary endpoint (P = 0.305) and use of placebo or active control as comparators (P = 0.552) did not influence the estimates. A different BP reduction of at least 4.6 mmHg in SBP or at least 2.2 mmHg in DBP was required to achieve a 95% prediction interval entirely lying below the unity.
Conclusion:
BP reduction is important to reduce the risk of CCEP in clinical trials. A significant difference between two treatment groups in the risk of CCEP may be anticipated for a SBP/DBP reduction differing by 4.6/2.2 mmHg or more.
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