Related Experiment Video
Updated: Jun 13, 2026

Wind Tunnel Experiments to Study Chaparral Crown Fires
Published on: November 14, 2017
[Applicability of different models in simulating the relationships between forest fire occurrence and weather factors
Fu-Tao Guo1, Hai-Qing Hu, Zhi-Hai Ma
1School of Forestry, Northeast Forestry University, Harbin 150040, China. guofutao@126.com
Abstract:
The Poisson's and Zero Inflated Poisson (ZIP) models that meet the data structure of forest fire occurrence were used to explore the relationships between the forest fire occurrence and climate factors in Daxing' an Mountains in 1980-2005. Compared with the ordinary least squares (OLS) model which often produced poor fitting results (R2 = 0.215), the Poisson's and ZIP models operated better, and had better prediction ability on the forest fire occurrence. The AIC and Vuong tests further indicated that ZIP model produced better fitting results, and thus, had better prediction ability than Poisson model.
Related Concept Videos
What is Weather?
Global Climate Change
Survival Tree
Building a Survival Tree
Constructing a survival tree begins...
Parametric Survival Analysis: Weibull and Exponential Methods
Weibull Distribution
The Weibull distribution is a flexible model used in parametric survival analysis. It can handle both increasing and decreasing hazard rates, depending on its shape parameter...
Graphs of Two-Variable Functions
Modeling and Similitude