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Potential for a hazardous geospheric response to projected future climate changes.

¹Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre, Department of Earth Sciences, University College London, Gower Street, London WC1E 6BT, UK. w.mcguire@ucl.ac.uk

Philosophical Transactions. Series A, Mathematical, Physical, and Engineering Sciences

|April 21, 2010

Summary

Global warming is increasing geological and geomorphological hazards. Research is needed to understand climate change impacts on Earth

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Area of Science:

Earth Science
Climate Science
Geology

Background:

Exceptional climate change events in Earth's history correlate with heightened geological and geomorphological activity.
This activity includes volcanic eruptions, seismic events, landslides, tsunamis, floods, debris flows, and gas-hydrate destabilization.

Purpose of the Study:

To review the potential influences of anthropogenic warming on geological and geomorphological hazards.
To advocate for focused research to better understand these mechanisms, identify susceptible regions, and assess societal impacts.

Main Methods:

Review of existing literature and modeling studies on climate change and geological hazards.
Analysis of current trends and observational data linking global temperature rise to geospheric responses.

Main Results:

Modeling studies and trend projections indicate an increased risk of geological and geomorphological hazards in a warming world.
Observations suggest that rising global temperatures may already be triggering hazardous geospheric responses.

Conclusions:

Anthropogenic climate change poses a growing risk of geological and geomorphological hazards.
Further research is crucial to understand the mechanisms, susceptibility, and impacts of these hazards for society and infrastructure.