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A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
Vitamin D status is associated with relapse rate in pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis
Ellen M Mowry1, Lauren B Krupp, Maria Milazzo
1MS Center, Department of Neurology, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94117, USA. ellen.mowry@ucsf.edu
Insights
Vitamin D deficiency is linked to more frequent relapses in pediatric multiple sclerosis (MS). Supplementation may be beneficial for children with MS, warranting further clinical trials.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Pediatrics
- Endocrinology
Background:
- Vitamin D status is a known risk factor for multiple sclerosis (MS).
- Pediatric-onset MS (POMS) requires further investigation into factors influencing disease activity.
- Understanding vitamin D's role in POMS can inform treatment strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between vitamin D levels and the rate of clinical relapses in pediatric MS patients.
- To determine if vitamin D status predicts future disease activity in children with MS or clinically isolated syndrome.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of a prospective cohort of 110 patients with POMS or clinically isolated syndrome.
- Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D(3) levels were measured and adjusted for seasonality.
- Multivariate regression analysis assessed the relationship between vitamin D levels and subsequent relapse rates.
Main Results:
- The mean adjusted serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D(3) level was 22 ng/ml.
- A 10 ng/ml increase in vitamin D levels was associated with a 34% reduction in relapse rate (IRR, 0.66; P=0.024).
- This association remained significant after adjusting for clinical and demographic factors.
Conclusions:
- Lower vitamin D levels correlate with higher relapse rates in pediatric MS.
- These findings support the need for clinical trials evaluating vitamin D supplementation in POMS.
- Maintaining adequate vitamin D may be crucial for managing pediatric MS activity.
Objective:
We sought to determine if vitamin D status, a risk factor for multiple sclerosis, is associated with the rate of subsequent clinical relapses in pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis.
Methods:
This is a retrospective study of patients with pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis or clinically isolated syndrome who were consecutively recruited into a prospective cohort at their clinical visit at the pediatric multiple sclerosis center of University of California, San Francisco or State University of New York at Stony Brook. Of 171 eligible patients, 134 (78%) with multiple sclerosis/clinically isolated syndrome were included in the cohort; a further 24 were excluded from this analysis due to lack of available serum (n = 7) or lack of follow-up (n = 17). Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D(3) levels were measured and were adjusted to reflect a deseasonalized value. The adjusted serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D(3) level was the primary predictor in a multivariate negative binomial regression model in which the main outcome measure was the number of subsequent relapses.
Results:
Among the 110 subjects, the mean unadjusted 25-hydroxyvitamin D(3) level was 22 +/- 9 ng/ml. After adjustment for age, gender, race, ethnicity, disease duration, disease-modifying therapy, and length of follow-up, every 10 ng/ml increase in the adjusted 25-hydroxyvitamin D(3) level was associated with a 34% decrease in the rate of subsequent relapses (incidence rate ratio, 0.66; 95% confidence interval, 0.46-0.95; p = 0.024).
Interpretation:
Lower serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D(3) levels are associated with a substantially increased subsequent relapse rate in pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis or clinically isolated syndrome, providing rationale for a randomized controlled trial of vitamin D supplementation.
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