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Identifying a targeted population at high risk for infections after liver transplantation in the MELD era
Hsin-Yun Sun1, Thomas V Cacciarelli, Nina Singh
1Veteran's Affair Pittsburgh Healthcare System, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.
Abstract:
Impact of model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scoring system on post-transplant infections and associated risk factors are unknown. Infections <90 d post-transplant were assessed in 277 consecutive liver transplant recipients from 1999 to 2008. "High-risk" factors for infections were pre-defined as MELD score >30, ICU stay >48 h prior to transplant, intraoperative transfusion ≥15 units, retransplantation, post-transplant dialysis, or reoperation. Of the 240 recipients in the MELD era (2002-2008), 48.5% had any high-risk factor. The OR for infection was 1.69, 2.00, 18.00, and 4.50 in recipients with any 1, 2, 3, and ≥4 high-risk factors, respectively (χ(2) for trend, p < 0.001). In logistic regression model, recipient age (OR 1.12, p < 0.05) and any high-risk factor (OR 2.42, p < 0.05) were associated with infections. Compared with 37 pre-MELD recipients, the overall infections and mortality at 12 months did not differ in the two eras. In Cox regression model, recipient age (OR 1.09, p < 0.05) and any high-risk factor (OR 2.42, p < 0.05) remained associated with infections. The overall frequency of infections did not increase in the MELD era. Pre-defined risk factors accurately predicted the risk of infections in these patients.
Insights
The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score did not increase post-liver transplant infections. However, pre-defined high-risk factors accurately predicted infection risk in liver transplant recipients.
Area of Science:
- Hepatology
- Transplantation Surgery
- Infectious Diseases
Background:
- The impact of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scoring system on post-liver transplant infections remains unclear.
- Understanding risk factors for infections is crucial for improving patient outcomes after liver transplantation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the impact of the MELD scoring system on infections occurring within 90 days post-liver transplant.
- To identify and evaluate pre-defined high-risk factors associated with post-transplant infections.
Main Methods:
- A retrospective analysis of 277 liver transplant recipients from 1999 to 2008.
- Infections within 90 days post-transplant were assessed.
- High-risk factors included MELD score >30, prolonged ICU stay, significant intraoperative transfusion, retransplantation, post-transplant dialysis, or reoperation.
Main Results:
- Among 240 recipients in the MELD era, 48.5% had at least one high-risk factor.
- The odds of infection increased significantly with the number of high-risk factors (p < 0.001).
- Recipient age and any high-risk factor were independently associated with post-transplant infections (p < 0.05).
- Overall infection and mortality rates at 12 months did not differ between the pre-MELD and MELD eras.
Conclusions:
- The MELD scoring system itself did not lead to an increased frequency of infections post-liver transplant.
- Pre-defined high-risk factors effectively predicted the risk of infections in liver transplant recipients.
- Identifying and managing these high-risk factors may help mitigate infection rates.
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