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Updated: Jun 12, 2026

Estimating Bilateral Atrial Function by Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance Feature Tracking in Patients with Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation
Published on: July 20, 2022
Autonomic dysfunction and new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with left ventricular systolic dysfunction after
Christian Jons1, Pekka Raatikainen, Uffe J Gang
1Department of Cardiology, Gentofte University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark. chrjoens@gmail.com
Insights
Patients with myocardial infarction and reduced ejection fraction are at high risk for new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF). Cardiac autonomic dysfunction, measured by heart rate variability (HRV) and turbulence (HRT), predicts AF development.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Electrophysiology
- Autonomic Nervous System Function
Background:
- Atrial fibrillation (AF) significantly increases morbidity and mortality in patients with prior myocardial infarction (MI) and left ventricular systolic dysfunction.
- Identifying high-risk individuals for new-onset AF in this population is crucial for timely intervention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify patients at high risk for new-onset AF following acute myocardial infarction (AMI) with reduced ejection fraction.
- To evaluate the predictive value of invasive and noninvasive electrophysiological tests for AF development.
Main Methods:
- 271 patients from the CARISMA study with AMI and LVEF ≤40% (no prior AF) were enrolled.
- Implantable loop recorders monitored AF over 2 years; heart rate variability (HRV), heart rate turbulence (HRT), echocardiograms, exercise tests, and electrophysiologic studies were performed.
Main Results:
- 101 patients (37%) developed new-onset AF.
- Reduced low-frequency (LF) power in spectral HRV, HRT slope ≤2.5, and DFA1 were significant predictors of AF, indicating cardiac autonomic dysfunction.
- A risk score combining age >60 with low LF, HRT slope, and DFA1 strongly predicted new-onset AF.
Conclusions:
- Abnormal HRV and HRT parameters, reflecting impaired cardiac autonomic regulation, are independently associated with an increased risk of new-onset AF.
- These electrophysiological markers offer valuable risk stratification beyond conventional clinical variables.
Background:
Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases morbidity and mortality in patients with previous myocardial infarction and left ventricular systolic dysfunction. The purpose of this study was to identify patients with a high risk for new-onset AF in this population using invasive and noninvasive electrophysiological tests.
Methods:
The study included 271 patients from the Cardiac Arrhythmias and RIsk Stratification after Myocardial InfArction (CARISMA) study with an acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and left ventricular ejection fraction ≤40% without previous AF at enrollment. Within 21 days after the AMI, an implantable loop recorder was inserted and used to diagnose AF over the 2-year study duration. The following tests were performed: heart rate variability (HRV) and turbulence (HRT) analyses from repeated 24-hour Holter recordings, 2-dimensional (2D)-echocardiograms, exercise test, and programmed electrophysiologic stimulation.
Results:
A total of 101 patients (37%) developed AF during the study. Predictive measures included several indexes of HRV including reduced low-frequency (LF) power from spectral HRV analysis (adjusted HR = 1.6, P = 0.034), HRT slope ≤2.5 (HR = 1.6, P = 0.032) and Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA1) from HRV analysis (HR = 1.8, P = 0.011); all are measures of cardiac autonomic nervous system dysfunction. Combined with age >60 years, low values for LF, HRT slope, and DFA1 provided a powerful risk score for prediction of new-onset AF (1-2 points: HR = 4.3, P = 0.001, 3-4 points: HR = 7.0, P < 0.001).
Conclusion:
Abnormal HRV and HRT parameters, which are associated with disturbances in the cardiac autonomic regulation, are associated with increased risk of new-onset AF independently of conventional clinical risk variables.
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