Predictability of human EEG: a dynamical approach

The electroencephalogram recordings from human scalp are analysed in the framework of recent methods of nonlinear dynamics. Three stages of brain activity are considered: the alpha waves (eyes closed), the deep sleep (stage four) and the Creutzfeld-Jakob coma. Two dynamical parameters of the attractors are evaluated. These are the Lyapunov exponents, which measure the divergence or convergence of trajectories in phase space and the Kolmogorov or metric entropy, whose inverse gives the mean predicting time of a given EEG signal. In all the stages considered, the results reveal the presence of at least two positive Lyapunov exponents, which are the footprints of chaos. This number increases to three positive exponents in the case of alpha waves, indicating that although for very short episodes the alpha waves seem extremely coherent, the variability of the brain increases markedly over larger periods of activity. The degree of entropy/chaos increases from coma to deep sleep and then to alpha waves. The large predicting time observed for deep sleep suggests that these waves are related to a slow rate of information processing. The predicting time of the alpha waves is much smaller, indicating a rapid loss of information. Finally, with the help of the Lyapunov exponents, the attractor's dimensions are evaluated using two different conjectures and compared to values obtained previously by the Grassberger-Procaccia algorithm.