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Updated: Jun 12, 2026

Dissociation of the Confounding Influences of Expectancy and Integrative Difficulty Residing in Anomalous Sentences in Event-related Potential Studies
Published on: May 9, 2019
All that glitters ... dissociating attention and outcome expectancy from prediction errors signals
Matthew R Roesch1, Donna J Calu, Guillem R Esber
1Department of Psychology, Program in Neuroscience and Cognitive Science, University of Maryland at College Park, College Park, Maryland, USA.
Neural prediction error signals, initially found in dopamine neurons, are also present in other brain areas. However, activity in the orbitofrontal cortex, ventral striatum, and amygdala may reflect attention or outcome expectancy rather than prediction errors, impacting learning and behavior.
Area of Science:
- Neuroscience
- Cognitive Neuroscience
- Computational Neuroscience
Background:
- Neural correlates of prediction errors (PEs) were initially identified in dopamine neurons.
- Subsequent research indicated PEs in other brain regions, including the orbitofrontal cortex (OFC), ventral striatum (VS), and amygdala.
- Interpreting neural activity in these regions requires distinguishing PE signals from other cognitive processes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To review the literature on neural activity in the OFC, VS, and amygdala in relation to prediction errors.
- To differentiate between prediction error signaling and other functions like attention and outcome expectancy in these brain areas.
- To clarify the roles of these regions in learning and behavior.
Main Methods:
- Literature review of studies investigating neural activity in dopamine neurons, OFC, VS, and amygdala.
- Analysis of findings related to prediction errors, attention, and outcome expectancy.
- Comparative analysis of neural activity patterns across different brain regions.
Main Results:
- Dopamine neurons show activity consistent with prediction error signaling.
- Basolateral amygdala (BLA) activity to unexpected outcomes likely reflects attentional processes.
- Orbitofrontal cortex (OFC) and ventral striatum (VS) activity is not modulated by prior expectations and may signal outcome expectancy.
Conclusions:
- Neural activity in the OFC, VS, and amygdala does not uniformly represent prediction errors.
- The BLA's role in processing unexpected outcomes may be primarily attentional.
- OFC and VS activity provides information about outcome expectancy, distinct from prediction error signaling.
- These findings refine our understanding of how different brain regions interact to guide learning and behavior.
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