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Published on: January 28, 2020
Comprehensive peroxidase-based hematologic profiling for the prediction of 1-year myocardial infarction and death
Marie-Luise Brennan1, Anupama Reddy, W H Wilson Tang
1Department of Cell Biology, Center for Cardiovascular Diagnostics and Prevention, Cleveland Clinic, Ohio, USA.
Insights
Identifying biological patterns in blood tests can improve cardiovascular risk prediction for patients with stable heart conditions. A new model using hematologic data offers better prediction of myocardial infarction (MI) and death than traditional factors alone.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Hematology
- Biostatistics
Background:
- Biological pattern recognition shows potential for identifying patients at risk of myocardial infarction (MI) and death.
- Hematologic phenotypic data, including leukocyte peroxidase, erythrocyte, and platelet parameters, may offer superior cardiovascular risk prediction in stable cardiac patients compared to traditional risk factors.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a predictive model (PEROX) for 1-year risk of death and MI in stable cardiac patients.
- To assess the incremental prognostic value of a comprehensive hematologic pattern recognition model over traditional risk factors.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 7369 stable patients undergoing elective cardiac evaluation was analyzed.
- A predictive model (PEROX) was derived using standard clinical data and high-throughput peroxidase-based hematology analyzer data from a complete blood count with differential.
- The model was developed in a derivation cohort (n=5895) and validated in an independent cohort (n=1474).
Main Results:
- Twenty-three high-risk and 24 low-risk hematologic patterns were identified.
- Erythrocyte- and leukocyte (peroxidase)-derived parameters were key predictors of death risk.
- MI risk patterns incorporated traditional cardiac risk factors and elements from all blood cell lineages.
- The PEROX model achieved 78% prognostic accuracy for 1-year death or MI risk, outperforming traditional risk factors (67%).
- The PEROX model reclassified 23.5% of patients to different risk categories when added to traditional risk factors (P<0.001).
Conclusions:
- Comprehensive pattern recognition of clinical, biochemical, and hematologic parameters offers incremental prognostic value.
- This approach enhances the prediction of 1-year risks of death and MI in stable patients undergoing elective cardiac catheterization.
Background:
Recognition of biological patterns holds promise for improved identification of patients at risk for myocardial infarction (MI) and death. We hypothesized that identifying high- and low-risk patterns from a broad spectrum of hematologic phenotypic data related to leukocyte peroxidase-, erythrocyte- and platelet-related parameters may better predict future cardiovascular risk in stable cardiac patients than traditional risk factors alone.
Methods And Results:
Stable patients (n=7369) undergoing elective cardiac evaluation at a tertiary care center were enrolled. A model (PEROX) that predicts incident 1-year death and MI was derived from standard clinical data combined with information captured by a high-throughput peroxidase-based hematology analyzer during performance of a complete blood count with differential. The PEROX model was developed using a random sampling of subjects in a derivation cohort (n=5895) and then independently validated in a nonoverlapping validation cohort (n=1474). Twenty-three high-risk (observed in > or =10% of subjects with events) and 24 low-risk (observed in > or =10% of subjects without events) patterns were identified in the derivation cohort. Erythrocyte- and leukocyte (peroxidase)-derived parameters dominated the variables predicting risk of death, whereas variables in MI risk patterns included traditional cardiac risk factors and elements from all blood cell lineages. Within the validation cohort, the PEROX model demonstrated superior prognostic accuracy (78%) for 1-year risk of death or MI compared with traditional risk factors alone (67%). Furthermore, the PEROX model reclassified 23.5% (P<0.001) of patients to different risk categories for death/MI when added to traditional risk factors.
Conclusions:
Comprehensive pattern recognition of high- and low-risk clusters of clinical, biochemical, and hematologic parameters provided incremental prognostic value in stable patients having elective diagnostic cardiac catheterization for 1-year risks of death and MI.
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