Comparison of nonlinear and spline regression models for describing mule duck growth curves

This study compared models for growth (BW) before overfeeding period for male mule duck data from 7 families of a QTL experimental design. Four nonlinear models (Gompertz, logistic, Richards, and Weibull) and a spline linear regression model were used. This study compared fixed and mixed effects models to analyze growth. The Akaike information criterion was used to evaluate these alternative models. Among the nonlinear models, the mixed effects Weibull model had the best overall fit. Two parameters, the asymptotic weight and the inflexion point age, were considered random variables associated with individuals in the mixed models. In our study, asymptotic weight had a greater effect in Akaike's information criterion reduction than inflexion point age. In this data set, the between-ducks variability was mostly explained by asymptotic BW. Comparing fixed with mixed effects models, the residual SD was reduced in about 55% in the latter, pointing out the improvement in the accuracy of estimated parameters. The mixed effects spline regression model was the second best model. Given the piecewise nature of growth, this model is able to capture different growth patterns, even with data collected beyond the asymptotic BW.