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Prognostic value of Framingham Cardiovascular Risk Score in hospitalized stroke patients
Bruce Ovbiagele1, David S Liebeskind, Doojin Kim
1University of California Los Angeles Stroke Center and Department of Neurology, 710 Westwood Plaza, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA. Ovibes@mednet.ucla.edu
Insights
The Framingham Coronary Risk Score (FCRS) can predict stroke outcomes. A higher FCRS score in hospitalized ischemic stroke patients is linked to increased death or disability and less chance of returning home.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Neurology
- Public Health
Background:
- The Framingham Coronary Risk Score (FCRS) assesses long-term cardiovascular risk.
- Individual FCRS components are linked to acute stroke outcomes.
- The predictive value of FCRS for stroke prognosis is not well-established.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate if the Framingham Coronary Risk Score (FCRS) can predict outcomes in patients hospitalized with ischemic stroke.
- To evaluate the association between FCRS and discharge outcomes including death, disability, and home discharge.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 434 consecutive ischemic stroke patients over 3 years.
- Exclusion of patients with known coronary artery disease.
- Multivariate regression analysis to assess the effect of FCRS on neurologic deficit (NIHSS), death or disability (mRS ≥2), and direct home discharge.
Main Results:
- Higher FCRS scores were associated with increased odds of death or disability at discharge (OR=4.9, P=.05).
- Higher FCRS scores were associated with decreased odds of direct home discharge (OR=0.18, P=.032).
- FCRS did not significantly predict discharge NIHSS scores.
Conclusions:
- The Framingham Coronary Risk Score (FCRS) provides valuable short-term prognostic information for hospitalized ischemic stroke patients.
- FCRS is associated with poorer discharge outcomes, including death, disability, and reduced home discharge rates.
- This score, easily calculable, can aid in risk stratification and management of stroke patients.
Abstract:
The Framingham Coronary Risk Score (FCRS) is based on several factors, including age, sex, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, presence of diabetes, and cigarette smoking. Some of these factors are individually linked with acute stroke outcomes. We explored whether FCRS could predict outcome in patients hospitalized with recent stroke. We collected data on consecutive patients hospitalized for ischemic stroke over a 3-year period. Patients with known coronary artery disease were excluded. Discharge outcomes assessed were neurologic deficit (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale [NIHSS] score), death or disability (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] score ≥2), and discharge to home directly from the hospital. The independent effect of FCRS on these outcomes was evaluated using multivariate regression analysis. During the study period, 434 patients with ischemic stroke met entry criteria (mean age, 64.5 years; 54% females). Median FCRS score was 8%. After adjusting for confounders, higher FCRS score was associated with an increased likelihood of death or being disabled at discharge (odds ratio [OR]=4.9; 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.98-24.1; P=.05), and a decreased likelihood of being discharged directly to home (OR=0.18; 95% CI=0.04-0.86; P=.032), but not with discharge NIHSS score. Higher FCRS in hospitalized ischemic stroke patients is associated with death or disability at discharge and a lower likelihood of being discharged directly to home. Along with indexing the long-term risk of cardiovascular events, this widely known, easily calculable score provides clinically relevant short-term prognostic information following ischemic stroke.
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