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Related Experiment Video

Updated: Jun 10, 2026

Creation of Patient-Specific Silicone Cardiac Models with Applications in Pre-surgical Plans and Hands-on Training
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Creation of Patient-Specific Silicone Cardiac Models with Applications in Pre-surgical Plans and Hands-on Training

Published on: February 10, 2022

Modeling the cardiac surgery workforce in Canada.

Sonia A Vanderby1, Michael W Carter, Timothy Latham

  • 1Industrial Engineering, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

The Annals of Thoracic Surgery
|July 30, 2010
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

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Canada faces a potential cardiac surgeon shortage by 2025 due to declining residency enrollment. Addressing training program capacity and graduate employment is crucial to avert a future healthcare crisis.

Area of Science:

  • Medical workforce modeling
  • Health systems research
  • Surgical workforce planning

Background:

  • Declining medical student interest in cardiac surgery residency programs due to limited employment prospects.
  • Concerns regarding future cardiac surgery workforce adequacy given lengthy training and an aging surgeon population.
  • Development of a Canadian cardiac surgery workforce model to assess future supply and demand.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To simulate the supply and demand for cardiac surgeons in Canada from 2008 to 2030.
  • To identify potential future shortages or excesses in the cardiac surgery workforce.
  • To analyze the impact of varying enrollment rates and surgeon productivity on workforce balance.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized a novel system dynamics model for simulation.

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Patient-specific Modeling of the Heart: Estimation of Ventricular Fiber Orientations
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Patient-specific Modeling of the Heart: Estimation of Ventricular Fiber Orientations

Published on: January 8, 2013

Related Experiment Videos

Last Updated: Jun 10, 2026

Creation of Patient-Specific Silicone Cardiac Models with Applications in Pre-surgical Plans and Hands-on Training
09:15

Creation of Patient-Specific Silicone Cardiac Models with Applications in Pre-surgical Plans and Hands-on Training

Published on: February 10, 2022

Patient-specific Modeling of the Heart: Estimation of Ventricular Fiber Orientations
12:09

Patient-specific Modeling of the Heart: Estimation of Ventricular Fiber Orientations

Published on: January 8, 2013

  • Modeled cardiac surgery supply and demand between 2008 and 2030.
  • Examined scenarios with varied surgeon productivity, revascularization rates, and residency enrollment.

    • Main Results:

    • Projected surgeon shortage by 2025 in the base case scenario.
    • Significant shortages anticipated after 2021 if residency enrollment is tied to surgeon unemployment.
    • Potential for a nearly 50% shortage if 2009 enrollment rates persist.

    Conclusions:

    • The study projects an impending shortage of cardiac surgeons in Canada.
    • Highlights the potential for a crisis in cardiac surgery workforce.
    • Emphasizes the urgent need to address residency enrollment and recent graduate employability.