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Published on: September 26, 2018
Improving cardiovascular risk reduction for primary prevention--utility of lifetime risk assessment
Kurt S Elward1, Ross J Simpson, Phil Mendys
1Department of Family Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22911, USA. kse9u@virginia.edu
Insights
Lifetime risk estimates for coronary heart disease (CHD) provide a more clinically meaningful assessment than short-term predictions. This approach may help prevent delayed interventions for cardiovascular disease prevention.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology and Cardiovascular Disease Prevention
- Medical Risk Assessment and Decision Making
Background:
- Traditional cardiovascular risk assessments often rely on short-term predictions, which can be significantly influenced by patient age.
- The clinical utility of short-term versus lifetime risk estimates for coronary heart disease (CHD) requires comprehensive review.
Purpose of the Study:
- To review the evidence comparing short-term risk assessments with lifetime risk estimates for overall coronary heart disease (CHD) burden.
- To evaluate how different cardiovascular risk assessment approaches impact clinical decision-making.
Main Methods:
- A systematic literature review of publications from the last 6 years was conducted.
- Search terms included "cardiovascular prevention," "Framingham risk scoring," "lifetime risk," and "cardiovascular risk assessment."
- 98 publications were evaluated to analyze variations in risk estimation and clinical impact.
Main Results:
- Lifetime risk estimates effectively mitigate the impact of age, which heavily influences traditional short-term cardiovascular risk predictions.
- Evidence suggests lifetime risk assessment offers a more comprehensive view of an individual's overall cardiovascular risk burden.
Conclusions:
- Lifetime risk estimates for CHD are potentially more clinically relevant than short-term estimates for assessing an individual's total risk.
- Utilizing lifetime risk assessment may prevent delays in initiating crucial therapeutic interventions to reduce cardiovascular events.
- Communicating the distinction between short-term and lifetime risk is important for primary care patients.
Abstract:
The objective of this article is to review the evidence basis for short-term risk assessments of overall coronary heart disease (CHD) burden as compared with lifetime risk estimates of CHD, based on the current medical literature. We reviewed literature published in the last 6 years using the terms "cardiovascular prevention," "Framingham risk scoring," "lifetime risk," and "cardiovascular risk assessment," and subsequently evaluated 98 publications to determine the variation in these approaches to estimate cardiovascular risk factors and impact on clinical decision making. The current evidence base suggests that lifetime risk estimates offset the significant impact of age on traditional, short-term risk estimates of cardiovascular risk. We conclude that the use of lifetime risk estimates may be more clinically meaningful than traditional, short-term risk estimates to assess an individual's overall risk burden, and may prevent the potential delay of therapeutic interventions to reduce cardiovascular events. For primary care, this difference may be of relevance to patients and should be communicated to them.
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