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Published on: February 26, 2013
Mortality predictors and effects of antithrombotic therapies in atrial fibrillation: insights from ACTIVE-W
Raffaele De Caterina1, Stuart J Connolly, Janice Pogue
1Institute of Cardiology, G. d'Annunzio University, C/o Ospedale SS. Annunziata, Via dei Vestini, 66013 Chieti, Italy. rdecater@unich.it
Insights
Non-fatal strokes significantly increase mortality risk in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients, with disabling strokes posing the greatest threat. Severe bleeding events also elevate mortality, underscoring the need for targeted prevention strategies.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Vascular Medicine
- Clinical Trials
Background:
- Antithrombotic therapies in atrial fibrillation (AF) primarily focus on preventing stroke and bleeding.
- The severity of non-fatal vascular and bleeding events can differentially impact mortality risk in AF patients.
- Understanding these differential impacts is crucial for optimizing treatment strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the mortality risk associated with various non-fatal events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).
- To differentiate the impact of stroke severity and bleeding severity on subsequent mortality.
- To inform future research and clinical practice regarding risk stratification and prevention in AF.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of data from the Atrial Fibrillation Clopidogrel Trial with Irbesartan for Prevention of Vascular Events (ACTIVE)-W trial.
- Assessment of subsequent mortality risk following non-fatal ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes, and transient ischemic attacks.
- Evaluation of mortality risk associated with severe and major (but not severe) bleeding events, using hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs).
Main Results:
- Non-fatal strokes, both ischemic and hemorrhagic, significantly increased mortality (HR 5.58).
- Disabling strokes (Rankin's score ≥3) markedly elevated mortality risk (HR 9.54), while non-disabling strokes did not.
- Severe bleeding events increased mortality (HR 3.35), but major bleeding events not classified as severe did not.
Conclusions:
- Non-fatal strokes, particularly disabling ones, are associated with increased mortality in AF patients.
- Only severe bleeding events, not all major bleeds, significantly increased mortality.
- Future research and clinical focus should prioritize preventing disabling strokes and severe bleeds in AF management.
Aims:
To assess the risk of death after the occurrence of different types of non-fatal events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Antithrombotic therapies in AF have primarily focused on stroke prevention and bleeding. However, strokes and bleeds differ in severity, and the level of severity may differently impact mortality.
Methods And Results:
We analysed the risk of subsequent mortality after the occurrence of non-fatal vascular and bleeding events in the Atrial Fibrillation Clopidogrel Trial with Irbesartan for Prevention of Vascular Events (ACTIVE)-W trial. In the 3371 patients randomized to vitamin K antagonists and the 3335 patients randomized to clopidogrel plus aspirin in ACTIVE-W, the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for subsequent death associated with the occurrence of non-fatal stroke was 5.58 (95% CI 3.84-8.10, P < 0.0001). Both ischaemic (HR 5.29, 95% CI 3.53-7.93, P < 0.0001) and haemorrhagic strokes (HR 7.38, 95% CI 2.74-19.9, P < 0.0001) increased mortality, but transient ischaemic attacks did not. Disabling strokes (Rankin's score > or =3) increased mortality (HR 9.54; 95% CI 6.42-14.2, P< 0.0001), but non-disabling strokes did not. Severe bleeding increased mortality (HR 3.35, 95% CI 2.12-5.27, P < 0.0001), but major bleeding that was not severe according to the study definitions did not.
Conclusion:
Non-fatal strokes increased mortality in ACTIVE-W, but non-disabling strokes did not. Among major bleeding events, only those also classified as severe increased mortality. Future research should emphasize the prevention of disabling strokes and severe bleeds and place less emphasis on non-disabling stroke or major bleeds that are not severe.
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