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11:02
The Use of an Automated System (GreenFeed) to Monitor Enteric Methane and Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Ruminant Animals
Published on: September 7, 2015
Livestock production: recent trends, future prospects
1CGIAR/ESSP Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI), PO Box 30709, Nairobi 00100, Kenya. p.thornton@cgiar.org
Summary
Global livestock production is adapting to rising demand in developing nations and efficiency gains in developed ones. Future growth faces resource competition and carbon constraints, influenced by technology, welfare laws, and societal values.
Area of Science:
- Agricultural Science
- Environmental Science
- Economics
Background:
- The global livestock sector is dynamic, driven by population and income growth, leading to increased demand for animal products.
- Developed countries see stagnating demand but improved production efficiency and sustainability.
- Developing countries experience rapidly increasing demand for livestock products.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze historical drivers of livestock production and demand.
- To identify future challenges and opportunities in the livestock sector.
- To explore the impact of environmental, economic, and social factors on future livestock systems.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of historical trends in livestock production and demand.
- Assessment of scientific and technological advancements in livestock systems.
- Evaluation of future production constraints, including resource competition and carbon emissions.
- Consideration of socio-economic factors influencing consumer demand.
Main Results:
- Historical livestock sector evolution linked to population, income, urbanization, and technological progress.
- Future production will be constrained by land, water, food-feed competition, and carbon limitations.
- Technological advancements in breeding, nutrition, and health will enhance production potential.
- Demand is subject to moderation by health concerns, socio-cultural shifts, and legislation.
Conclusions:
- The livestock sector faces a complex future shaped by resource availability, climate change, and evolving societal demands.
- Adaptation strategies must balance production increases with environmental sustainability and animal welfare.
- Uncertainty remains regarding regional variations and the interplay of future influencing factors.
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