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Road traffic fatalities in Qatar, Jordan and the UAE: estimates using regression analysis and the relationship with
A Bener1, S J Hussain, M a Al-Malki
1Department of Public Health, Weill Cornell Medical College of Qatar, Doha, Qatar. abener@hmc.org.qa
Abstract:
Smeed's equation is a widely used model for prediction of traffic fatalities but has been inadequate for use in developing countries. We applied regression analysis to time-series data on vehicles, exponential models for fatality prediction, producing an average absolute error of 20.9% for Qatar, 10.9% for population and traffic fatalities in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Jordan and Qatar. The data were fitted to Jordan and 5.5% for the UAE. We found a strong linear relationship between gross domestic product and fatality rate.
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