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Does elevated C-reactive protein increase atrial fibrillation risk? A Mendelian randomization of 47,000 individuals
Sarah C W Marott1, Børge G Nordestgaard, Jeppe Zacho
1Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Herlev Hospital, Copenhagen University Hospital, Herlev, Denmark.
Insights
Elevated C-reactive protein (CRP) levels are linked to a higher risk of atrial fibrillation. However, genetic factors influencing CRP do not appear to cause this increased risk, suggesting CRP itself may not be the direct cause.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Inflammation Research
- Genetics
Background:
- Elevated C-reactive protein (CRP) levels have been previously associated with an increased risk of developing atrial fibrillation.
- Investigating the nature of this association is crucial for understanding cardiovascular disease mechanisms.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if the association between C-reactive protein (CRP) and atrial fibrillation risk is robust and potentially causal.
- To differentiate between the effects of elevated plasma CRP and genetically influenced CRP levels on atrial fibrillation risk.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of data from 10,276 individuals in the Copenhagen City Heart Study and 36,600 individuals in the Copenhagen General Population Study.
- Measurement of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) levels and genotyping for four CRP gene polymorphisms.
- Utilized logistic regression and instrumental variable analysis to assess the relationship between CRP levels and atrial fibrillation risk.
Main Results:
- Higher C-reactive protein (CRP) levels were associated with a significantly increased risk of atrial fibrillation, even after adjustments for multiple factors.
- Genetically determined variations in CRP levels did not correlate with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation.
- Instrumental variable analysis suggested a weaker, non-significant causal effect of genetically elevated CRP on atrial fibrillation compared to observed associations with plasma CRP levels.
Conclusions:
- While elevated plasma C-reactive protein (CRP) robustly associates with increased atrial fibrillation risk, genetically elevated CRP levels do not.
- These findings suggest that elevated plasma CRP may not be a direct causal factor for atrial fibrillation, implying other inflammatory or related mechanisms might be involved.
Objectives:
The purpose of this study was to test whether the association of C-reactive protein (CRP) with increased risk of atrial fibrillation is a robust and perhaps even causal association.
Background:
Elevated levels of CRP previously have been associated with increased risk of atrial fibrillation.
Methods:
We studied 10,276 individuals from the prospective Copenhagen City Heart Study, including 771 individuals who had atrial fibrillation during follow-up, and another 36,600 persons from the cross-sectional Copenhagen General Population Study, including 1,340 cases with atrial fibrillation. Individuals were genotyped for 4 CRP gene polymorphisms and had high-sensitivity CRP levels measured.
Results:
A CRP level in the upper versus lower quintile associated with a 2.19-fold (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.54- to 3.10-fold) increased risk of atrial fibrillation. Risk estimates attenuated slightly after multifactorial adjustment to 1.77 (95% CI: 1.22 to 2.55), and after additional adjustment for heart failure and plasma fibrinogen level to 1.47 (95% CI: 1.02 to 2.13) and 1.63 (95% CI: 1.21 to 2.20), respectively. Genotype combinations of the 4 CRP polymorphisms associated with up to a 63% increase in plasma CRP levels (p < 0.001), but not with increased risk of atrial fibrillation. The estimated causal odds ratio for atrial fibrillation by instrumental variable analysis for a doubling in genetically elevated CRP levels was lower than the odds ratio for atrial fibrillation observed for a doubling in plasma CRP on logistic regression (0.94 [95% CI: 0.70 to 1.27] vs. 1.36 [95% CI: 1.30 to 1.44]; p < 0.001).
Conclusions:
Elevated plasma CRP robustly associated with increased risk of atrial fibrillation; however, genetically elevated CRP levels did not. This suggests that elevated plasma CRP per se does not increase atrial fibrillation risk.
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