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Effect of high parity on the occurrence of prediabetes: a cohort study
Yahya M Al-Farsi1, Daniel R Brooks, Martha M Werler
1Department of Family Medicine and Public Health, Sultan Qaboos University, Oman. ymfarsi@squ.edu.om
Insights
High parity does not increase prediabetes risk; maternal age is the confounding factor. This study found no direct link between the number of pregnancies and prediabetes development.
Area of Science:
- Reproductive Health
- Endocrinology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Prediabetes is a growing public health concern, affecting women during and after pregnancy.
- Parity, the number of previous pregnancies, has been suggested as a risk factor for prediabetes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between parity and the occurrence of prediabetes in women.
- To differentiate the independent effect of parity from confounding factors like maternal age.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study nested within the AMAL study in Oman.
- Analysis of 3,196 pregnancies from 532 women using Cox proportional hazard regression.
- Adjusted for maternal age, education, family income, and delivery year.
Main Results:
- Initially, high parity (≥5 pregnancies) appeared to increase prediabetes risk (HR=3.72).
- This association significantly attenuated after adjusting for maternal age (HR=1.05).
- Further adjustments for other confounders did not alter the findings.
Conclusions:
- The observed association between high parity and prediabetes is likely due to confounding by maternal age.
- High parity itself is not an independent risk factor for prediabetes.
Objective:
To assess the effect of parity on the occurrence of prediabetes defined as an abnormal fasting plasma glucose (5.6-6.9 mmol/l), an abnormal 2-hour oral glucose tolerance test (7.7-11.1 mmol/l), or both, before 12 weeks gestation or at least 6 weeks after delivery.
Design:
Retrospective cohort study.
Setting:
Nested on a community trial Delaying the Development of Diabetes Mellitus type 2 (AMAL study) in Oman.
Population:
532 women with a total of 3,196 pregnancies.
Methods:
We conducted sets of Cox proportional hazard regression analyses: crude, age-adjusted and full models which adjusted for maternal age, education, family income and year of delivery.
Main Outcome Measures:
Hazard ratio (HR) of the effect of parity on prediabetes.
Results:
We enumerated 258 cases of prediabetes over 8,529 person-years of follow up. In the crude model, high parity (> or =5) pregnancies carried a higher risk of prediabetes than low parity (<5) pregnancies (HR = 3.72; 95% CI = 2.80, 4.91), and the prediabetes incidence rate increased in a dose-response fashion over multiple categories of parity. In age-only models, the association attenuated with control of the confounding effect of maternal age (HR = 1.05; 95% CI = 0.76, 1.45). Adjusting for other confounders in the full models yielded similar results to those adjusted for maternal age only.
Conclusions:
The apparent effect of parity on the occurrence of prediabetes is attributable to the confounding effect of maternal age rather than to high parity.
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