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Updated: Jun 8, 2026

Point-Of-Care Ultrasound Screening for Proximal Lower Extremity Deep Venous Thrombosis
Published on: February 10, 2023
Optimisation of the diagnostic strategy for suspected deep-vein thrombosis in primary care
Kristel J M Janssen1, Eit F van der Velde, Arina J Ten Cate
1Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands. K.J.M.Janssen@umcutrecht.nl
Insights
A diagnostic score effectively and safely excludes deep-vein thrombosis (DVT) in primary care, reducing referrals by nearly 50% without compromising patient safety. Further adjustments did not improve its accuracy.
Area of Science:
- Medical Diagnostics
- Primary Care Medicine
- Clinical Decision Support
Background:
- A validated diagnostic score exists to safely exclude deep-vein thrombosis (DVT) in primary care settings.
- A prospective study demonstrated a 50% reduction in ultrasound referrals for suspected DVT using this score.
- The study reported an acceptably low risk of 1.4% for venous thromboembolic events in non-referred patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate if updating the existing DVT diagnostic score could further enhance its accuracy.
- To assess if adjusting predictor weights or adding new predictors improves diagnostic safety and efficiency.
- To determine the optimal diagnostic strategy for excluding DVT in primary care.
Main Methods:
- Two updating methods were applied to the diagnostic score: adjusting predictor weights and adding new predictors.
- Predictive value of 'history of DVT' and 'prolonged travelling' was assessed.
- Safety (missed diagnoses rate) and efficiency (referral reduction) were compared between the original and updated scores.
Main Results:
- Adjusting predictor weights was unnecessary.
- Inclusion of 'history of DVT' and 'prolonged travelling' added significant predictive value (p<0.05).
- However, updated scores did not improve safety or efficiency; at equal safety, efficiency was lower.
Conclusions:
- The original diagnostic score for excluding DVT in primary care demonstrates good accuracy and safety.
- Updating the score with additional predictors did not yield further improvements in diagnostic performance.
- The original diagnostic score is recommended for safe exclusion of clinically suspected DVT in primary care.
Abstract:
Recently, a diagnostic score was developed to safely exclude deep-vein thrombosis (DVT) in primary care. A large prospective study, in which general practitioners used this diagnostic score to decide which patients needed referral, revealed that the number of referrals for ultrasound measurements was reduced by almost 50%, at the cost of an acceptably low risk (1.4%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.6% to 2.9%) of venous thromboembolic events in non-referred patients. However, simple adjustments to the diagnostic score (so-called updating) might further improve the accuracy; i.e. reduce the proportion of missed diagnoses (safety) or increase the proportion of patients who do not need to be referred (efficiency). We applied two updating methods to determine whether adjusting the weights of the predictors or adding new predictors could further improve the accuracy of the diagnostic score. The weights of the predictors did not need to be adjusted, but inclusion of 'history of DVT' and 'prolonged travelling' significantly added predictive value (p-values 0.014 and 0.023, respectively). However, adding these predictors to the diagnostic score did not improve the safety and efficiency: at equal safety (1.4% missed diagnoses among the non-referred patients), the efficiency was lower (43.5%, 95% CI 40.4% to 46.6% compared to 49.4%, 95% CI 46.3% to 52.5%). The diagnostic score for excluding DVT in primary care has good accuracy in its original form and could not be improved by including additional predictors. This suggests that the original diagnostic score can be used to safely exclude clinically suspected DVT in primary care.
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