Predicting who will benefit from endoscopic third ventriculostomy compared with shunt insertion in childhood

Abhaya V Kulkarni1, James M Drake, John R W Kestle

  • 1Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, Canada. abhaya.kulkarni@sickkids.ca

Insights

The ETV Success Score (ETVSS) helps predict endoscopic third ventriculostomy (ETV) success in pediatric hydrocephalus. Higher scores indicate better ETV outcomes compared to shunts, especially early on.

Area of Science:

  • Neurosurgery
  • Pediatric Neurosurgery
  • Hydrocephalus Management

Background:

  • Endoscopic third ventriculostomy (ETV) is a surgical option for pediatric hydrocephalus.
  • The ETV Success Score (ETVSS) was developed to predict ETV success based on age, etiology, and prior shunt status.
  • Clinical utility of the ETVSS in comparing long-term outcomes of ETV versus shunt insertion needs assessment.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the clinical utility of the ETV Success Score (ETVSS).
  • To determine if long-term survival outcomes differ between ETV and shunt insertion within ETVSS strata.
  • To assess the predictive value of ETVSS for ETV success compared to shunts.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of a multicenter, international cohort of pediatric patients (≤19 years) with newly diagnosed hydrocephalus.
  • Comparison of outcomes between ETV (489 patients) and shunt insertion (720 patients).
  • Calculation of ETVSS for all patients and performance of survival analyses with time-dependent hazard ratios.

Main Results:

  • In the High-ETVSS group, ETV showed a lower risk of failure from the outset compared to shunts.
  • In the Moderate-ETVSS group, ETV had a higher initial failure rate but became favorable after 3 months.
  • In the Low-ETVSS group, ETV's early failure risk was higher, with outcomes becoming favorable after 6 months.

Conclusions:

  • The ETVSS effectively stratifies patients for ETV versus shunt outcomes.
  • For high-ETVSS candidates, ETV offers early and sustained lower failure risk than shunts.
  • For lower-ETVSS candidates, ETV failure risk is initially higher but becomes lower than shunts after 3-6 months, warranting further prospective studies.
Abstract

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