Proposal for a modified grading system based on mitotic index and Bcl2 provides objective determination of clinical
Tarek M A Abdel-Fatah1, Desmond G Powe, Graham Ball
1Division of Pathology, School of Molecular Medical Sciences and Nottingham University Hospitals Trust, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.
Abstract:
We hypothesized that the interaction between mitotic index (M) and Bcl2 could accurately discriminate between low- and high-grade breast cancer (BC) and provide a more objective measure of clinical outcome than histological grade, especially for patients with intermediate histological grade (G2), small size or oestrogen receptor (ER)-negative cancers. A well-characterized series of 1650 BCs with long-term follow-up was subjected to immunohistochemical analysis for Bcl2. Mitotic index (M) was assessed according to Nottingham Grading System (NGS) guidelines: M1: < 10 mitoses; M2: 10-18 mitoses; M3: > 18 mitoses. Results were validated in an independent series of patients (n = 245) uniformly treated with adjuvant anthracycline-based chemotherapy. Subsequently, BCs were classified according to the combined M/Bcl2 profile and compared with NGS. Multivariate Cox regression models using validated prognostic factors demonstrated that the subgroups defined by M/Bcl2 profile remained significantly associated with patients' outcome but also performed better than lymph node status and tumour size. Incorporation of the M/Bcl2 profile into the Nottingham Prognostic Index (NPI) reclassified twice as many patients into the excellent prognosis group, potentially improving decision-making and sparing patients unneeded systemic adjuvant therapy. Patients with M2-3/Bcl2- and M3/Bcl2+ (high risk) had a two- to three-fold increased risk of recurrence when treated with either adjuvant hormone therapy or anthracycline-based chemotherapy compared with those with M1/Bcl2 ± and M2/Bcl2+ (low risk) [HR = 3.4 (2.8-5.6); p < 0.0001 and HR = 2.3 (1.2-4.3); p = 0.0009]. In conclusion, a grading system defined by mitotic counting and Bcl2 expression accurately reclassified patients with NGS-G2, small tumour size or ER-negative cancers into two groups: low risk (NGS-G1-like) versus high risk (NGS-G3-like) of BC mortality and recurrence, improving prognosis and therapeutic planning.
