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Published on: August 28, 2018
Coronary calcium score improves classification of coronary heart disease risk in the elderly: the Rotterdam study
Suzette E Elias-Smale1, Rozemarijn Vliegenthart Proença, Michael T Koller
1Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Insights
Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring significantly reclassifies 10-year coronary heart disease (CHD) risk in elderly individuals. New cutoff values of 615 and 50 Agatston units help identify high and low risk, respectively.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Preventive Medicine
- Medical Imaging
Background:
- Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring improves coronary heart disease (CHD) risk prediction.
- Limited data exist on the clinical impact of CAC scoring in practice.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the effect of CAC scoring on 10-year hard CHD risk classification.
- To establish empirical CAC cutoff values for a general elderly population.
Main Methods:
- Study included 2,028 asymptomatic elderly participants (mean age 69.6 years) from the Rotterdam Study.
- Follow-up of 9.2 years with 135 hard coronary events.
- Risk stratification using Framingham model, then enhanced with CAC scoring; reclassification percentages calculated.
Main Results:
- CAC scoring substantially reclassified 52% of intermediate-risk individuals into more accurate risk categories.
- CAC values >615 Agatston units identified high risk.
- CAC values <50 Agatston units identified low risk.
Conclusions:
- CAC scoring is effective for reclassifying intermediate CHD risk in elderly populations.
- Empirically derived CAC cutoff values are 615 (high risk) and 50 (low risk) Agatston units.
Objectives:
The purpose of this study was to examine the effect of coronary artery calcium (CAC) on the classification of 10-year hard coronary heart disease (CHD) risk and to empirically derive cut-off values of the calcium score for a general population of elderly patients.
Background:
Although CAC scoring has been found to improve CHD risk prediction, there are limited data on its impact in clinical practice.
Methods:
The study comprised 2,028 asymptomatic participants (age 69.6 ± 6.2 years) from the Rotterdam Study. During a median follow-up of 9.2 years, 135 hard coronary events occurred. Persons were classified into low (<10%), intermediate (10% to 20%), and high (>20%) 10-year coronary risk categories based on a Framingham refitted risk model. In a second step, the model was extended by CAC, and reclassification percentages were calculated. Cutoff values of CAC for persons in the intermediate-risk category were empirically derived based on 10-year hard CHD risk.
Results:
Reclassification by means of CAC scoring was most substantial in persons initially classified as intermediate risk. In this group, 52% of men and women were reclassified, all into more accurate risk categories. CAC values above 615 or below 50 Agatston units were found appropriate to reclassify persons into high or low risk, respectively.
Conclusions:
In a general population of elderly patients at intermediate CHD risk, CAC scoring is a powerful method to reclassify persons into more appropriate risk categories. Empirically derived CAC cutoff values at which persons at intermediate risk reclassified to either high or low risk were 615 and 50 Agatston units, respectively.
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