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The risks from flooding: which risks and whose perception?

C H Green1, S M Tunstall, M H Fordham

  • 1Flood Hazard Research Centre Middlesex Polytechnic Queensway Enfield, EN3 4SF UK.

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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Different groups perceive flood risks differently, influencing their expectations and responses. They tend to assume the future will mirror the past, overlooking unknown risks.

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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Science
  • Risk Management
  • Social Science

Background:

  • Flood risk assessment involves diverse stakeholders including engineers, emergency planners, the public, and researchers.
  • These groups have varying perspectives on flood hazards and the appraisal of alleviation schemes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze how different stakeholder groups define and perceive flood risks.
  • To understand how these definitions influence expectations of future events and responses to flooding.

Main Methods:

  • Qualitative analysis of stakeholder perspectives on flood risk.
  • Examination of risk selection, definition, and influence on decision-making.

Main Results:

  • Significant variations exist among groups in defining and focusing on flood risks.
  • Risk definitions shape expectations about future flood events and appropriate responses.
  • Common tendencies include assuming future events will resemble past occurrences and neglecting "uncertain uncertainties".

Conclusions:

  • Differing group perspectives on flood risk can lead to suboptimal flood management strategies.
  • Addressing "uncertain uncertainties" is crucial for effective flood risk management.
  • Future research should explore methods to reconcile diverse stakeholder risk perceptions.