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Field Collection and Laboratory Maintenance of Canopy-Forming Giant Kelp to Facilitate Restoration
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Confronting socially generated uncertainty in adaptive management.

Andrew J Tyre1, Sarah Michaels

  • 1School of Natural Resources, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE 68583-0974, USA. atyre2@unl.edu

Journal of Environmental Management
|October 23, 2010
PubMed
Summary

Adaptive management requires understanding uncertainty from both nature and human actions. Ignoring this holistic view risks damaging natural resources and leading to unwanted surprises.

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Area of Science:

  • Ecology
  • Conservation Biology
  • Environmental Management

Background:

  • Adaptive management is increasingly adopted for natural resource management.
  • Uncertainty in natural systems and human actions poses challenges to effective management.
  • Failure to acknowledge all sources of uncertainty can lead to negative outcomes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To highlight the importance of recognizing diverse sources of uncertainty in adaptive management.
  • To demonstrate that acknowledging only ecological uncertainty is insufficient for avoiding surprises.
  • To propose a holistic approach to managing uncertainty in natural resource endeavors.

Main Methods:

  • Case study analysis of wildlife management efforts for Hector's Dolphins, American Alligators, and Pallid Sturgeon.
  • Examination of indeterminism characteristics: non-stationarity, irreducibility, and undefined probabilities.
  • Qualitative assessment of human perception and decision-making in natural resource contexts.

Main Results:

  • Ecological uncertainty alone does not prevent surprises in adaptive management.
  • Case studies illustrate the impact of both natural and human-induced uncertainty.
  • Non-stationarity, irreducibility, and probabilistic challenges are common across diverse species.

Conclusions:

  • A holistic approach to indeterminism is crucial for successful adaptive management.
  • Recognizing uncertainty in ecological systems and human interactions is essential.
  • Integrating human perception and decision-making into management strategies mitigates risks.