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Published on: May 10, 2021
The association of incidentally detected heart valve calcification with future cardiovascular events
Martijn J A Gondrie1, Yolanda van der Graaf, Peter C Jacobs
1Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Universiteitsweg 100, PO Box 85500, 3508 GA Utrecht, Netherlands. m.gondrie@umcutrecht.nl
Insights
Incidental aortic valve calcification (AVC), mitral valve calcification (MVC), and mitral annular calcification (MAC) detected on routine chest CT scans predict future cardiovascular events and valve disease.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Radiology
- Preventive Medicine
Background:
- Incidental findings on routine imaging are increasingly recognized.
- The prognostic significance of heart valve calcification on chest CT is not fully established.
- Early identification of cardiovascular risk factors is crucial for patient outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the prognostic value of incidental aortic valve calcification (AVC), mitral valve calcification (MVC), and mitral annular calcification (MAC) for cardiovascular events.
- To assess the association of these calcifications with non-rheumatic valve disease.
- To determine the utility of routine chest CT for identifying subclinical cardiovascular risk.
Main Methods:
- A case-cohort study design was employed with 10410 patients undergoing chest CT.
- Follow-up was conducted for a median of 17 months, excluding patients referred for cardiovascular disease.
- Valve calcification was graded by three reviewers, and Cox-proportional hazard analysis was used to assess prognostic value.
Main Results:
- Severe AVC, MVC, or MAC were associated with significantly increased risks of cardiovascular events (HRs 2.03, 2.08, 1.53, respectively).
- The risk for valve-specific endpoints was substantially elevated for severe AVC (HR 14.57), MVC (HR 8.78), and MAC (HR 2.43).
- 515 cardiovascular events were recorded during the follow-up period.
Conclusions:
- Incidental heart valve calcification on routine chest CT is an independent predictor of future cardiovascular events.
- Routine chest CT findings can contribute to clinical care by identifying subclinical disease.
- This study supports an evidence-based approach to reporting incidental subclinical findings on imaging.
Objectives:
This study aims to investigate the prognostic value of incidental aortic valve calcification (AVC), mitral valve calcification (MVC) and mitral annular calcification (MAC) for cardiovascular events and non-rheumatic valve disease in particular on routine diagnostic chest CT.
Methods:
The study followed a case-cohort design. 10410 patients undergoing chest CT were followed for a median period of 17 months. Patients referred for cardiovascular disease were excluded. A random sample of 1285 subjects and the subjects who experienced an endpoint were graded for valve calcification by three reviewers. Cox-proportional hazard analysis was performed to evaluate the prognostic value.
Results:
515 cardiovascular events were ascertained. Compared with patients with no valve calcification, patients with severe AVC, MVC or MAC had respectively 2.03 (1.48-2.78), 2.08 (1.04-4.19) and 1.53 (1.13-2.08) increased risks of experiencing an event during follow-up. For valve endpoints the hazard ratios were respectively 14.57 (5.19-40.53), 8.78 (2.33-33.13) and 2.43 (1.18-4.98).
Conclusion:
Incidental heart valve calcification, detected on routine chest CT is an independent predictor of future cardiovascular events. The study emphasises how incidental imaging findings can contribute to clinical care. It is a step in the process of composing an evidence-based approach in the reporting of incidental subclinical findings.
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