Related Experiment Video
Updated: Jun 6, 2026

Calcification of Vascular Smooth Muscle Cells and Imaging of Aortic Calcification and Inflammation
Published on: May 31, 2016
Distribution, size, shape, growth potential and extent of abdominal aortic calcified deposits predict mortality in
Mads Nielsen1, Melanie Ganz, Francois Lauze
1Department of Computer Science, University of Copenhagen, Denmark. madsn@diku.dk
Insights
Aortic calcification characteristics, including number, size, and distribution, significantly predict mortality risk. The novel Morphological Atherosclerotic Calcification Distribution (MACD) index shows superior predictive power compared to existing scores.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Disease Research
- Medical Imaging Analysis
- Geriatric Health
Background:
- Aortic calcification is a critical determinant of cardiovascular disease mortality.
- Understanding plaque characteristics beyond mere extent is crucial for risk assessment.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between aortic calcification features (number, size, morphology, distribution) and mortality risk.
- To evaluate the predictive performance of a novel composite index (MACD) against established risk scores.
Main Methods:
- Longitudinal study of 308 postmenopausal women (aged 48-76) over 8.3 years.
- Lumbar X-rays analyzed for aortic calcification using number (NCD), size, morphology, and distribution.
- Development and comparison of the Morphological Atherosclerotic Calcification Distribution (MACD) index with EU SCORE, Framingham score, and AC24.
Main Results:
- Age, smoking, and triglycerides were key mortality predictors.
- The MACD index demonstrated superior predictive power, yielding a hazard ratio of 15.6 for the highest-risk group.
- MACD outperformed traditional scores like Framingham and SCORE in predicting mortality.
Conclusions:
- Aortic calcification's morphology, size, and distribution are significant predictors of mortality, not just its extent.
- The MACD index offers a more sensitive tool for identifying individuals at high risk of mortality from aortic calcification.
Background:
Aortic calcification is a major risk factor for death from cardiovascular disease. We investigated the relationship between mortality and the composite markers of number, size, morphology and distribution of calcified plaques in the lumbar aorta.
Methods:
308 postmenopausal women aged 48-76 were followed for 8.3 ± 0.3 years, with deaths related to cardiovascular disease, cancer, or other causes being recorded. From lumbar X-rays at baseline the number (NCD), size, morphology and distribution of aortic calcification lesions were scored and combined into one Morphological Atherosclerotic Calcification Distribution (MACD) index. The hazard ratio for mortality was calculated for the MACD and for three other commonly used predictors: the EU SCORE card, the Framingham Coronary Heart Disease Risk Score (Framingham score), and the gold standard Aortic Calcification Severity score (AC24) developed from the Framingham Heart Study cohorts.
Results:
All four scoring systems showed increasing age, smoking, and raised triglyceride levels were the main predictors of mortality after adjustment for all other metabolic and physical parameters. The SCORE card and the Framingham score resulted in a mortality hazard ratio increase per standard deviation (HR/SD) of 1.8 (1.51-2.13) and 2.6 (1.87-3.71), respectively. Of the morphological x-ray based measures, NCD revealed a HR/SD >2 adjusted for SCORE/Framingham. The MACD index scoring the distribution, size, morphology and number of lesions revealed the best predictive power for identification of patients at risk of mortality, with a hazard ratio of 15.6 (p < 0.001) for the 10% at greatest risk of death.
Conclusions:
This study shows that it is not just the extent of aortic calcification that predicts risk of mortality, but also the distribution, shape and size of calcified lesions. The MACD index may provide a more sensitive predictor of mortality from aortic calcification than the commonly used AC24 and SCORE/Framingham point card systems.
Related Concept Videos
Aneurysm II: Clinical Manifestations and Diagnostic Studies
Imaging Studies for Cardiovascular System VI: Calcium -Scoring CT
Aneurysm III: Interprofessional Care
Coronary Artery Disease I: Introduction
Peripheral Artery Disease I: Introduction
Atherosclerosis II: Clinical Manifestations and Diagnostic Tests

