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Published on: February 7, 2015
Does carotid intima-media thickness regression predict reduction of cardiovascular events? A meta-analysis of 41
Pierluigi Costanzo1, Pasquale Perrone-Filardi, Enrico Vassallo
1Department of Internal Medicine,cardiovascular Sciences, and Immunology, Federico II University, Naples, Italy. pcostanz@alice.it
Insights
Reducing intima-media thickness (IMT) through cardiovascular drug therapies does not significantly lower the incidence of cardiovascular events like coronary heart disease or cerebrovascular events. Favorable changes in IMT do not necessarily translate to reduced clinical outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Medical Imaging
- Evidence-Based Medicine
Background:
- Increased carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) is linked to higher risks of coronary heart disease (CHD) and cerebrovascular (CBV) events.
- The prognostic significance of favorable changes in IMT remains uncertain.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if intima-media thickness (IMT) regression is associated with a reduced incidence of cardiovascular events.
- To investigate the relationship between IMT changes and clinical outcomes in patients receiving cardiovascular therapies.
Main Methods:
- A meta-regression analysis of 41 randomized trials involving 18,307 participants was conducted.
- Searched MEDLINE and Cochrane databases for trials reporting carotid IMT and clinical endpoints.
- Explored the influence of baseline characteristics, risk profiles, and trial quality on the IMT-outcome association.
Main Results:
- Active treatments significantly reduced CHD, CBV events, and all-cause death.
- No significant relationship was found between IMT regression and reduced CHD events, CBV events, or all-cause death.
- Baseline characteristics, cardiovascular risk, IMT levels, and trial quality did not influence the IMT-outcome association.
Conclusions:
- Regression or slowed progression of carotid IMT induced by cardiovascular drug therapies does not reflect a reduction in cardiovascular events.
- Favorable changes in IMT do not serve as a reliable surrogate marker for reduced cardiovascular event incidence.
Objectives:
the purpose of this study was to verify whether intima-media thickness (IMT) regression is associated with reduced incidence of cardiovascular events.
Background:
Carotid IMT increase is associated with a raised risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) and cerebrovascular (CBV) events. However, it is undetermined whether favorable changes of IMT reflect prognostic benefits.
Methods:
the MEDLINE database and the Cochrane Database were searched for articles published until August 2009. All randomized trials assessing carotid IMT at baseline, at end of follow-up, and reporting clinical end points were included. A weighted random-effects meta-regression analysis was performed to test the relationship between mean and maximum IMT changes and outcomes. The influence of baseline patients' characteristics, cardiovascular risk profile, IMT at baseline, follow-up, and quality of the trials was also explored. Overall estimates of effect were calculated with a fixed-effects model, random-effects model, or Peto method.
Results:
forty-one trials enrolling 18,307 participants were included. Despite significant reduction in CHD, CBV events, and all-cause death induced by active treatments (for CHD events, odds ratio [OR]: 0.82, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.69 to 0.96, p = 0.02; for CBV events, OR: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.51 to 1.00, p = 0.05; and for all-cause death, OR: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.53 to 0.96, p = 0.03), there was no significant relationship between IMT regression and CHD events (tau(2)0.91, p = 0.37), CBV events (tau(2)-0.32, p = 0.75), and all-cause death (tau(2)-0.41, p = 0.69). In addition, subjects' baseline characteristics, cardiovascular risk profile, IMT at baseline, follow-up, and quality of the trials did not significantly influence the association between IMT changes and clinical outcomes.
Conclusions:
regression or slowed progression of carotid IMT, induced by cardiovascular drug therapies, do not reflect reduction in cardiovascular events.
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