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Predicting perceived risk of crime: a multilevel study
Silvia Russo1, Michele Roccato, Alessio Vieno
1Department of Psychology, University of Torino, Via Verdi 10, 10124 Turin, Italy. silvia.russo@unito.it
American Journal of Community Psychology
|December 17, 2010
Summary
Crime risk perception varies locally, influenced by factors like disorder and demographics. Societal crime risk perception is less localized, affected by individual values and media exposure.
Area of Science:
- Criminology
- Sociology
- Social Psychology
Background:
- Perceived risk of crime is a crucial factor influencing public behavior and policy.
- Understanding the determinants of crime perception at both local and societal levels is essential for effective crime prevention strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the multilevel predictors of perceived crime risk at local (county) and societal levels in Italy.
- To identify individual and ecological factors associated with crime risk perception.
Main Methods:
- Two multilevel analyses were conducted on a sample of 1,868 Italians from 71 Italian counties.
- Individual-level variables (e.g., victimization, demographics, values) and ecological-level variables (e.g., crime rates, unemployment) were examined.
Main Results:
- Local crime risk perception showed significant variation at the county level, predicted by indirect victimization, disorder, gender, education, age, crime rate, and unemployment.
- Societal crime risk perception did not vary significantly at the county level, influenced by education, gender, trust, values, family size, and media exposure.
Conclusions:
- Local crime perception is influenced by a mix of individual experiences and community characteristics.
- Societal crime perception is more shaped by individual values, demographics, and media consumption patterns.
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