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Updated: Jun 5, 2026
Oral Health Assessment by Lay Personnel for Older Adults
Published on: February 2, 2020
Predictive validity of a questionnaire to identify older adults at risk for hospitalization
Michel Machado Dutra1, Emilio Hideyuki Moriguchi, Melissa Agostini Lampert
1Programa de Pós-Graduação em Medicina e Ciências da Saúde, Faculdade de Medicina, Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, RS, Brasil.
Objective:
To test the predictive validity of the Probability of Repeated Hospital Admissions questionnaire among older adults.
Methods:
A population-based cohort study with a 6-month follow-up was implemented with 515 non-institutionalized older people (>60 years) cared for by the Family Health Strategy in the city of Progresso, Southern Brazil, in 2005. Participants answered eight objective questions that were entered in a logistic regression model to estimate the risk of future hospital admission, by risk strata. Survival analysis and the receiver operating characteristics curve were utilized to assess instrument validity.
Results:
Among participants, 56.1% were women and 10.1% were hospitalized. The high-risk group had a 6.5 times greater frequency of hospitalization in comparison to the low-risk category.
Conclusions:
The instrument is effective in assessing the risk of hospitalization among older adults attended by the Family Health Program of the National Unified Health Care System.
