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Predicting what extra-terrestrials will be like: and preparing for the worst.

Simon Conway Morris1

  • 1Department of Earth Sciences, Downing Street, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 3EQ, UK. sc113@esc.cam.ac.uk

Philosophical Transactions. Series A, Mathematical, Physical, and Engineering Sciences
|January 12, 2011
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Darwinian evolution likely governs alien life, but its form is predictable. We may be alone, or encounter life strikingly similar to Earth

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Area of Science:

  • Astrobiology
  • Evolutionary Biology
  • Origin of Life

Background:

  • The nature of extraterrestrial life and evolution is largely unknown.
  • Assumptions about alien life range from the bizarre to the familiar.
  • Current understanding suggests life may be constrained by physical and chemical limits.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To challenge the assumption that alien life must be strange and unpredictable.
  • To propose that evolutionary outcomes are remarkably predictable.
  • To explore the implications of predictable evolution for extraterrestrial life.

Main Methods:

  • Theoretical analysis of evolutionary principles.
  • Examination of terrestrial life's physical and chemical constraints.
  • Consideration of evolutionary convergence and life's determinate structures.

Main Results:

  • Terrestrial life may be near the universal limits for habitability.
  • Evolutionary convergence suggests predictable outcomes, potentially leading to intelligent life.
  • Despite predictability, the possibility of Earth-like biospheres is extremely unlikely.

Conclusions:

  • The outcomes of evolution, even in alien biospheres, are likely predictable.
  • The universe may paradoxically be devoid of life, or host life similar to Earth's.
  • The profound implications of either scenario warrant serious consideration.