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Published on: December 2, 2014
Does aortic stiffness improve the prediction of coronary heart disease in elderly? The Rotterdam Study
G C Verwoert1, S E Elias-Smale, D Rizopoulos
1Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Insights
Aortic stiffness measurement in elderly individuals is linked to cardiovascular disease risk but does not improve risk stratification when added to traditional Framingham risk factors. This finding suggests limited additional value for aortic stiffness in clinical practice for this population.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Geriatrics
- Biomedical Engineering
Background:
- Aortic stiffness is a known independent predictor of cardiovascular disease (CVD).
- Assessing its utility in clinical risk stratification for elderly populations is crucial.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the added value of aortic stiffness measurement in cardiovascular risk stratification for elderly subjects.
- To determine if aortic stiffness reclassifies cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk when combined with Framingham risk factors.
Main Methods:
- The Rotterdam Study cohort, comprising 2849 elderly participants (mean age 71.5 years) free of coronary heart disease (CHD) at baseline, was analyzed.
- Subjects were stratified into low, intermediate, and high 10-year CHD risk categories using Framingham risk factors.
- Reclassification rates were calculated by adding aortic stiffness measurements to the Framingham risk factors.
Main Results:
- A total of 223 CHD events occurred during a median follow-up of 7.9 years.
- Adding aortic stiffness resulted in limited reclassification: 5% in the low-risk group, 6% in the high-risk group, 3% to high-risk, and 6% to low-risk from the intermediate group.
- Aortic stiffness was associated with CHD risk but provided no significant additional value for risk stratification.
Conclusions:
- In elderly subjects, aortic stiffness measurement offers limited additional value for cardiovascular disease risk stratification beyond established Framingham risk factors.
- While associated with cardiovascular risk, aortic stiffness does not significantly alter risk category assignments in this population.
- Further research may explore other applications or refined methodologies for aortic stiffness assessment in elderly cardiovascular risk prediction.
Abstract:
It has been demonstrated that aortic stiffness is an independent predictor of cardiovascular disease. We investigated whether this measure is of use in cardiovascular risk stratification in clinical practice for elderly subjects (mean age 71.5 years). Within the framework of the Rotterdam Study, we stratified subjects free of coronary heart disease (CHD) at baseline into categories of low (<10%), intermediate (10-20%) and high (>20%) 10-year risk of CHD based on Framingham risk factors. Within each risk category, we determined the percentages of subjects moving into a higher or lower risk category when adding aortic stiffness to the Framingham risk factors. Among 2849 participants, 223 CHD events occurred during a median follow-up of 7.9 years. In the low risk group, 5% of the subjects could be reclassified and in the high-risk group, 6% of the subjects could be reclassified to the intermediate-risk group. In the intermediate-risk group 3% could be reclassified to the high-risk group and 6% to the low-risk group. In a population of elderly subjects, aortic stiffness measurement in addition to Framingham risk factors leads to a limited reclassification of subjects in 10-year cardiovascular disease-risk categories. Therefore, aortic stiffness is associated with the risk of CHD in elderly, but provides no additional value in cardiovascular risk stratification.
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