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Evaluation of temperature-pulse centile charts in identifying serious bacterial illness: observational cohort study
Andrew J Brent1, Monica Lakhanpaul, Nelly Ninis
1Working Group on Recognising Acute Illness in Children, Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health, London, UK. dr.a.brent@gmail.com
Insights
Increased pulse rate is a key indicator for serious bacterial infection (SBI) in children. Temperature-pulse charts were less effective than pulse rate alone in predicting SBI risk.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Emergency Medicine
- Infectious Disease Diagnostics
- Clinical Assessment Tools
Background:
- Differentiating serious bacterial infections (SBI) from self-limiting infections in children is challenging.
- Vital sign interpretation is complicated by temperature effects on pulse and respiratory rates.
- Temperature-pulse centile charts have been proposed to enhance pulse rate's predictive value for SBI.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the effectiveness of temperature-pulse centile charts in the clinical assessment of children with suspected SBI.
- To compare the predictive value of temperature-pulse centile categories, pulse centile categories, and Advanced Paediatric Life Support (APLS) defined tachycardia for SBI.
Main Methods:
- A comparative study involving 1360 children (3 months to 10 years) presenting with suspected infection to an English emergency department (ED).
- Analysis of 325 children presenting to UK hospitals with meningococcal disease.
- Assessment of predictive values for SBI using temperature-pulse centile categories, pulse centile categories, and APLS-defined tachycardia.
Main Results:
- Pulse centile category strongly predicted SBI risk (p=0.0005), unlike temperature-pulse centile category (p=0.288).
- APLS-defined tachycardia was also a significant predictor of SBI (OR 2.90).
- In meningococcal disease cases, higher pulse and temperature-pulse centile categories correlated with disease severity.
Conclusions:
- Elevated pulse rate is a crucial predictor of SBI, aligning with recommendations for routine measurement in febrile children.
- Temperature-pulse centile charts demonstrated lower utility than pulse rate alone in this study.
- Further research is needed to explore the role of these charts in monitoring clinical progress over time.
Background:
Distinguishing serious bacterial infection (SBI) from milder/self-limiting infections is often difficult. Interpretation of vital signs is confounded by the effect of temperature on pulse and respiratory rate. Temperature-pulse centile charts have been proposed to improve the predictive value of pulse rate in the clinical assessment of children with suspected SBI.
Objectives:
To assess the utility of proposed temperature-pulse centile charts in the clinical assessment of children with suspected SBI.
Study Design And Participants:
The predictive value for SBI of temperature-pulse centile categories, pulse centile categories and Advanced Paediatric Life Support (APLS) defined tachycardia were compared among 1360 children aged 3 months to 10 years presenting with suspected infection to a hospital emergency department (ED) in England; and among 325 children who presented to hospitals in the UK with meningococcal disease.
Main Outcome Measure:
SBI.
Results:
Among children presenting to the ED, 55 (4.0%) had SBI. Pulse centile category, but not temperature-pulse centile category, was strongly associated with risk of SBI (p=0.0005 and 0.288, respectively). APLS defined tachycardia was also strongly associated with SBI (OR 2.90 (95% CI 1.60 to 5.26), p=0.0002). Among children with meningococcal disease, higher pulse and temperature-pulse centile categories were both associated with more severe disease (p=0.004 and 0.041, respectively).
Conclusions:
Increased pulse rate is an important predictor of SBI, supporting National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence recommendations that pulse rate be routinely measured in the assessment of febrile children. Temperature-pulse centile charts performed more poorly than pulse alone in this study. Further studies are required to evaluate their utility in monitoring the clinical progress of sick children over time.
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