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Natural population decrease in Iowa counties.

H C Chang1

  • 1Department of Sociology and Anthropology Iowa, State University, 50010, Ames, Iowa.

Demography
|February 1, 2011
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Rural Iowa counties experience natural population decrease primarily due to out-migration, not low fertility. This demographic shift impacts county characteristics and birth-death ratios.

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Area of Science:

  • Demography
  • Sociology
  • Population Studies

Background:

  • Follows previous studies by Dorn and Beale on population dynamics.
  • Investigates factors contributing to natural population decrease in Iowa counties.
  • Highlights distinct demographic and socioeconomic differences between counties with natural increase and decrease.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the roles of migration and fertility in causing natural population decrease in Iowa counties.
  • To differentiate between Iowa counties exhibiting natural decrease versus natural increase.
  • To understand the relationship between out-migration, fertility rates, and population imbalance.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized data from population censuses and vital statistics.
  • Compared demographic and socioeconomic characteristics of different county groups.
  • Examined the influence of out-migration and fertility on birth-death ratios.

Main Results:

  • Out-migration is the dominant factor driving natural population decrease in rural Iowa.
  • Sustained net out-migration more significantly impacts natural decrease in low-fertility counties.
  • Low fertility contributes to population imbalance but its precise influence is confounded by fertility and Catholic Church membership correlation.

Conclusions:

  • Out-migration is the primary driver of natural population decrease in Iowa counties.
  • Fertility is a contributing factor, but its impact is complex and intertwined with other demographic variables.
  • Further research is needed to disentangle the specific effects of fertility on population dynamics in these counties.