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Seasonal variation of hypertrophic pyloric stenosis: a population-based study
Mohammed F Zamakhshary1, Sanjeev Dutta, Teresa To
1Division of Pediatric Surgery, King Fahad Hospital, King Abdulaziz Medical City, National Guard Health Affairs, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. zamakhshary@gmail.com
Insights
Seasonal variation in hypertrophic pyloric stenosis (HPS) is significant, with higher incidence rates observed during summer months. This finding suggests environmental factors may play a role in the development of HPS.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Surgery
- Epidemiology
- Infant Health
Background:
- The incidence of hypertrophic pyloric stenosis (HPS) and its potential seasonal variation has been a subject of ongoing debate.
- Understanding seasonal patterns in HPS can provide insights into potential etiological factors.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate and confirm the existence of seasonal variation in the incidence of hypertrophic pyloric stenosis.
- To analyze HPS incidence across different seasons to identify peak occurrence periods.
Main Methods:
- A population-based cohort study analyzed 1,777 infants diagnosed with HPS in Ontario, Canada, between 1993 and 2000.
- Incidence rates were adjusted for birth rates and expressed per 100,000 infants under 12 months.
- Statistical analyses, including one-way ANOVA, time series, and spectral analysis, were employed to assess seasonal trends.
Main Results:
- The study identified a statistically significant seasonal variation in HPS incidence.
- The highest incidence of HPS and pyloromyotomy occurred in the summer, particularly in June.
- Conversely, the lowest rates were observed in winter, with February showing the lowest incidence (p = 0.0014).
Conclusions:
- Hypertrophic pyloric stenosis incidence is higher during the summer months.
- The observed seasonal variation supports the hypothesis that environmental factors may contribute to the etiology of HPS.
- Further research into specific environmental triggers is warranted.
Introduction:
Seasonal variation in the incidence of hypertrophic pyloric stenosis (HPS) has been long debated. The goal of this study was to determine if seasonal variation exists in the incidence of pyloric stenosis.
Methods:
A population-based cohort consisted of all infants in the province of Ontario, Canada with HPS from 1993 to 2000. The incidence of HPS per season was adjusted by birth rate and expressed as number of pyloromyotomies per 100,000 infants less than 12 months of age. One-way analysis of variance was used to compare HPS incidence between seasons. Further time series and spectral analysis were performed to examine for seasonal variation.
Results:
There were 1,777 infants included in the population-based cohort. June was the month with the highest rate of HPS. The highest rate of pyloromyotomy occurred in the summer 14.92 and the lowest in the winter 10.73, this difference was statistically significant (p = 0.01). Spectral analysis showed that June was the month with the highest rate and February had the lowest rates p = 0.0014.
Conclusion:
Hypertrophic pyloric stenosis more commonly presents in the summer. Seasonal variation suggests a possible etiological role for environmental factors.
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