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A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
The town of Cabar, Croatia, familiar pseudocluster for multiple sclerosis--descriptive epidemiological study
Olivio Perković1, Ante Jurjević, Igor Antoncić
1Department of Neurology, Clinical Hospital Centre Rijeka, Rijeka, Croatia. operkovic@net.hr
Abstract:
Previous descriptive surveys in the town of Cabar, Croatia carried out by our own epidemiological research group, have established that this area is at high risk for MS. To confirm the above assumption and to update MS frequency in this area we conducted a community-based intensive prevalence and incidence study. On December 31st 2001, the average prevalence was 205.7 per 100,000 with prevailing age-specific prevalence in the group of patients between 30 and 49 years of age. The average incidence (1948-2004) was 5.52/100.000 population per year (95% CI = 3.27-8.72), average mortality in the year was 2.76/100 000 inhabitants (95% CI = 1.26-5.24). Sexual index stood at 1:11, starting time was 10:04 +/- 28.53 in the year, and the average duration of the disease to the prevalence 11:11 +/- 27.26 years.
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