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Published on: June 16, 2014
Higher cystatin C level predicts long-term mortality in patients with peripheral arterial disease
Grazina Urbonaviciene1, Guo Ping Shi, Sigitas Urbonavicius
1Vascular Research Unit, Department of Vascular Surgery, Viborg Hospital, Heibergs Allé 4, DK-8800 Viborg, Denmark. Grazina.urbonaviciene@sun.au.dk
Insights
Elevated cystatin C levels independently predict mortality in peripheral arterial disease (PAD) patients. While cystatin C aids risk prediction, its clinical utility for cardiovascular events in PAD may be limited.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Research
- Biomarker Discovery
- Atherosclerosis Studies
Background:
- Cystatin C and cathepsins are implicated in atherosclerotic disease progression.
- Peripheral arterial disease (PAD) is associated with increased mortality risk.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the relationship between cystatin C, cathepsin L, and cathepsin S levels and lethal outcomes in patients with PAD.
- To assess the prognostic value of cystatin C for cardiovascular mortality in PAD.
Main Methods:
- Study included 378 patients with established PAD.
- Cox regression analysis was used to evaluate associations between serum biomarkers and mortality.
- C-statistic and net reclassification improvement (NRI) assessed cystatin C's predictive accuracy.
Main Results:
- Higher cystatin C levels (above 1 mg/l) significantly increased adjusted risk for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in PAD patients.
- This association remained significant even in PAD patients without renal impairment.
- Adding cystatin C to conventional risk factors improved cardiovascular mortality prediction accuracy but showed modest reclassification.
Conclusions:
- Higher cystatin C levels are an independent predictor of 5-year all-cause and cardiovascular death in PAD.
- The modest improvement in risk prediction and lack of significant reclassification suggest limited clinical utility of cystatin C for cardiovascular mortality prediction in PAD.
Aims:
Cystatin C and cathepsins could play a role in different processes and stages of the atherosclerotic disease. We aimed to investigate the relationship of cystatin C, and cathepsins L, and S, to lethal outcome in patients with peripheral arterial disease (PAD).
Methods And Results:
We studied 378 patients with established PAD. Cox regression was used to assess relationships between serum cystatin C or cathepsins L and S, and time to lethal outcome. The role of cystatin for prognosis of cardiovascular death was assessed with c-statistic, and net reclassification improvement (NRI). Patients with cystatin C levels above 1 mg/l (fifth quintile) had a significantly increased adjusted risk for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality compared to patients with cystatin C levels below or equal to 1 mg/l (hazard ratios (HR) 2.2, 95% CI 1.22-4.12, and HR 3.2, 95% CI 1.39-7.59, respectively). Furthermore, high cystatin C levels were related with higher all-cause (adjusted HR 2.99, 95% CI 1.31-6.85) and cardiovascular mortality (adjusted HR 4.36, 95% CI 1.07-18.8) among PAD patients without renal impairment. Although the addition of cystatin C to conventional risk factors improved the accuracy of risk prediction model for cardiovascular mortality (0.72-0.79; p=0.03), it did not reclassify a substantial proportion of patients to risk categories (NRI=0.12, p=0.128).
Conclusions:
Higher cystatin C levels independently predicted 5 years all-cause, and cardiovascular death in PAD patients. However, a small improvement in discrimination with the addition of cystatin C to conventional risk factors, and no improvement in reclassification of risk categories suggest that clinical usefulness of cystatin C for predicting cardiovascular mortality in PAD population might be modest.
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