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Synchronicity, instant messaging, and performance among financial traders.

Serguei Saavedra¹, Kathleen Hagerty, Brian Uzzi

¹Northwestern Institute on Complex Systems and Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL 60208, USA.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

|March 16, 2011

Summary

Synchronous trading behavior in financial markets can help day traders reduce losses. Higher synchronicity correlates with better individual performance and is linked to communication patterns.

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Area of Science:

Behavioral Economics
Financial Markets Analysis
Complex Systems Dynamics

Background:

Successful animal systems exhibit spontaneous synchronous behavior for risk management.
Understanding synchronicity's benefits in critical human systems (e.g., finance) is emerging.
Previous research highlights commonalities between ecological and human systems.

Purpose of the Study:

To investigate the concept of synchronous trading in financial markets.
To examine the relationship between synchronous trading, individual trader performance, and communication patterns.
To determine if synchronicity aids traders in managing risk and achieving goals.

Main Methods:

Analysis of empirical, second-to-second trading data from day traders.
Examination of traders' instant messaging communication patterns.
Correlation analysis between synchronous trading levels, financial performance, and communication.

Main Results:

Increased synchronous trading is associated with a lower likelihood of daily financial loss.
Traders' daily instant messaging patterns show a strong correlation with their level of synchronous trading.
Synchronous trading emerges as a spontaneous characteristic of individual traders.

Conclusions:

Synchronous trading behavior may be a key factor in mitigating risk for individual traders.
Communication patterns are closely linked to synchronous trading, suggesting a role in collective decision-making.
Synchronicity and advanced technology offer potential strategies for navigating complex financial systems and achieving goals.