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Variability in CKD stage in outpatients followed in two large renal clinics
Tabo Sikaneta1, Mohamed Abdolell, Hulya Taskapan
1Renal Division, Scarborough Hospital, Scarborough, ON, Canada. tabosikaneta@yahoo.ca
Insights
Chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage variability is common in elderly patients. An improving CKD stage was linked to a lower likelihood of needing dialysis later on.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Geriatric Medicine
- Clinical Epidemiology
Background:
- Chronic kidney disease (CKD) staging relies on glomerular filtration rate (GFR), but stage can fluctuate between visits.
- The impact of this CKD stage variability on patient and renal survival is not well understood.
- Understanding CKD stage dynamics is crucial for accurate prognosis and patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To quantify and categorize CKD stage variability in a large outpatient cohort.
- To identify clinical and demographic factors associated with CKD stage variability.
- To correlate CKD stage variability patterns with renal and patient survival outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Estimated GFRs were used to stage CKD at baseline.
- CKD stages were categorized as static, improving, worsening, or fluctuating over the observation period.
- Logistic regression identified factors associated with variability; Cox proportional regression analyzed survival outcomes.
Main Results:
- CKD stage changed in 40% of 1,262 elderly patients over a 1.1-year period.
- Improving CKD stages were associated with heavy proteinuria, East Asian ethnicity, diabetes mellitus, and prior acute kidney injury.
- An improving CKD stage was inversely associated with the subsequent need for dialysis.
Conclusions:
- CKD stage variability is frequent in elderly outpatients, with 40% showing changes within a year.
- Improving CKD stage emerged as a significant predictor, indicating a reduced risk of future dialysis.
- This highlights the prognostic importance of monitoring CKD stage dynamics beyond a single cross-sectional assessment.
Objective:
Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is staged by glomerular filtration rate (GFR). CKD stages sometimes vary between routine office visits, and it is unknown if this impacts renal and patient survival separately from a cross-sectional CKD stage value. We quantified and categorized CKD stage variability in a large group of outpatients and correlated this with clinical and demographic features and with renal and patient survival.
Methods:
All estimated GFRs were staged in the first observation period. CKD stages were then categorized as static, improving, worsening, or fluctuating. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify clinical variables associated with CKD stage variability. Death and dialysis progression rates were then collected and analyzed using Cox proportional regression.
Results:
During a 1.1-year observation period, 1,262 patients (mean age 71.25 years) had a mean 5 eGFR's. CKD stages were static in 60.4%, worsened in 14.4%, improved in 7.4%, and fluctuated in 17.2% of patients. Secondary analysis revealed heavy proteinuria and East Asian ethnicity to be negatively, and diabetes mellitus and previous acute kidney injury to be positively associated with improving CKD stages. Cox proportional regression of 902 patients analyzed 2.3 years later revealed a negative association with improving CKD stage and subsequent need for dialysis.
Conclusions:
CKD stage changed in 40% of 1,262 elderly patients when determined 5 times in just over 1 year. Improving CKD stage was the only variability pattern significantly associated with any of the clinical outcomes when assessed 2.3 years later, being unlikely to be linked with subsequent need for dialysis.
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