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Published on: August 2, 2011
Clinical factors associated with severity in hospitalized children infected with avian influenza (H5N1)
Hiroyuki Furuya1, Shoji Kawachi, Mika Shigematsu
1Center for Molecular Prevention and Environmental Medicine, Basic Clinical Science and Public Health, Tokai University School of Medicine, Isehara, Kanagawa, 259-1193, Japan. furuya@is.icc.u-tokai.ac.jp
Insights
Decreased white blood cell (WBC) and platelet (PLT) counts are predictors of poor prognosis in young patients with avian influenza A (H5N1) virus infection. These findings aid in early clinical assessment and treatment strategies for H5N1 cases.
Area of Science:
- Infectious Diseases
- Virology
- Pediatrics
Background:
- Avian influenza A (H5N1) virus has caused significant human mortality globally.
- Over 50% of reported H5N1 cases involve individuals under 20 years of age.
- Limited data exists on clinical factors predicting H5N1 prognosis in pediatric populations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify clinical and laboratory factors associated with prognosis in H5N1 influenza patients.
- To perform a pooled analysis of H5N1 cases to overcome limitations of small sample sizes in individual studies.
- To investigate the predictive value of laboratory markers for H5N1 outcomes in children and adolescents.
Main Methods:
- Pooled analysis of 36 pediatric H5N1 cases (<18 years) from five case reports (2004-2009).
- Investigation of associations between prognosis and laboratory findings (WBC, PLT, AST, ALT).
- Linear regression analysis adjusted for age and sex to assess predictor significance.
Main Results:
- Mortality was negatively associated with lower white blood cell (WBC) and platelet (PLT) counts, adjusted for age and sex.
- Elevated aspartate aminotransferase (AST) levels showed a trend towards association with poor prognosis (p=0.054).
- Alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels did not show a significant association with survival.
Conclusions:
- Decreased WBC and PLT counts are significant predictors of poor prognosis in pediatric H5N1 influenza.
- These laboratory markers can aid in early risk stratification for H5N1-infected children.
- Further research is warranted to fully elucidate prognostic factors in H5N1 infection.
Objective:
The World Health organization received reports of 478 laboratory-confirmed cases of influenza A (H5N1) from 15 countries between November 2003 and February 2010. More than 50% of these cases involved patients <20 years of age. Determining an association between the clinical factors at the time of hospital admission and prognosis may be useful for timely and adequate consultation and treatment. It has been difficult to obtain these clinical factors adjusted with other confounding factors, such as age and sex, as published studies of H5N1 virus infection usually reported only a few cases. So, we performed a pooled analysis of the reported cases.
Methods:
Five case reports (36 patients <18 years of age) of H5N1 infection from four countries published between 2004 and 2009 were assessed based on available individual clinical data. Using the pooled data for all patients, we investigated the associations between patients' prognosis and available laboratory findings, such as white blood cell (WBC) counts, platelet (PLT) counts, and serum levels of aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) by adjusting for age and/or sex.
Results:
The linear regression analysis revealed that mortality was negatively associated with WBC and PLT counts adjusted with age and sex. Increased log AST tended to be associated with a poor prognosis (p = 0.054), but there was no significant association between survival and log ALT level.
Conclusions:
Both decreased WBC and PLT counts can be considered to be common predictors of poor prognosis in H5N1 influenza patients <18 years of age. Further studies are needed for clarification.
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