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Updated: Jun 3, 2026

Establishing a Competing Risk Regression Nomogram Model for Survival Data
Published on: October 23, 2020
[A clinical predictor index for renal survival]
Nordeval Cavalcante Araújo1, Lilimar da Silveira Rioja, Maria Alice Puga Rebelo
1Serviço de Nefrologia, Hospital Universitário Pedro Ernesto, Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro.
A new clinical index combining kidney ultrasound, body height ratio, and creatinine levels can predict kidney disease progression. This index helps determine the best timing for kidney biopsies, potentially avoiding them in advanced cases.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Renal Medicine
- Medical Diagnostics
Background:
- Accurate assessment of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression is crucial for timely intervention.
- Histopathologic features from biopsies are standard but invasive.
- A non-invasive clinical index could aid in determining optimal biopsy timing.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate if a clinical index predicts renal survival in patients with kidney disease.
- The index incorporates cortical echogenicity, renal length to body height ratio (KL/H), and serum creatinine.
Main Methods:
- 154 patients were enrolled.
- A chronic clinical index was developed using cortical echogenicity, KL/H, and serum creatinine.
- Renal biopsy grading assessed chronic and acute lesions.
- Study endpoint was initiation of dialysis.
Main Results:
- Higher chronic clinical and biopsy indices correlated with poorer renal survival.
- Patients with high echogenicity, low KL/H (<0.60), and high creatinine (>2.5 mg/dL) often required dialysis.
- The chronic clinical index showed good correlation with the chronic biopsy index.
Conclusions:
- The chronic clinical index can identify patients with advanced, irreversible kidney disease.
- Renal biopsy may be unnecessary in patients with the highest clinical index scores.
- This index can be valuable for group comparisons and assessing treatment efficacy in CKD.
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