Increasing trend in infection-related death-censored graft failure in renal transplantation

Advances in kidney transplantation have significantly improved early outcomes but failed to improve long-term graft survival. Despite many causes, the contribution of infection to death-censored graft failure (DCGF) is unknown. The aim of our study is to assess the impact of infections on DCGF using United Network for Organ Sharing data.

We analyzed 38,286 DCGFs among 189,110 first kidney transplants performed between January 1, 1990 and December 31, 2006. Information on infection contributing to DCGF was available in 31,326 DCGF recipients. Student's two-sample t test for normally distributed variables, Wilcoxon rank sum test for nonnormally distributed, and Chi-square test for categorical variables were used in univariable comparisons. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to assess the independent contribution of variables to infection-related DCGF.

Overall, infection accounted for 7.7% (2397/31,326) of all DCGF. The rate of infection-related DCGF increased from 6.4% in 1990 to 10.1% in 2006 and was significantly higher during 1997 to 2006 when compared with 1990 to 1996 period (9.1% vs. 6.3%, P<0.001). Over these 17 years, the trends in infection-related DCGF and rejection rates showed an inverse relationship with the former exceeding the latter starting in 2005. The risk of infection-related DCGF was higher (14.1%) in recipients older than 65 years and exceeded the rejection rate in those older than 60 years. Urological complications and polyoma infection were the most significant risk factors with odds ratios of 8.77 (confidence interval: 5.15-14.93) and 2.55 (confidence interval: 1.41-4.61), respectively.

Infection is increasingly contributing to DCGF in recent years and warrant reevaluation of current immunosuppression protocols, especially in older recipients.