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Updated: Jun 3, 2026

Determining the Likelihood of Variant Pathogenicity Using Amino Acid-level Signal-to-Noise Analysis of Genetic Variation
Published on: January 16, 2019
The sense and nonsense of direct-to-consumer genetic testing for cardiovascular disease
Insights
Direct-to-consumer genetic testing for cardiovascular disease risk is not currently useful due to limited predictive ability and unverified models. Focus should remain on family history and lifestyle factors for effective disease prevention.
Area of Science:
- Genetics
- Cardiovascular Disease
- Personalized Medicine
Background:
- Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) result from complex interactions between multiple genetic variants and non-genetic risk factors.
- Direct-to-consumer (DTC) genetic susceptibility testing for CVD is increasingly available online.
- Personalized medicine aims for targeted preventive and therapeutic interventions based on genetic profiles.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the utility of current DTC genetic susceptibility testing for cardiovascular diseases.
- To identify limitations and drawbacks of predictive genetic testing for multifactorial cardiovascular conditions.
Main Methods:
- Review and critical analysis of the scientific basis and predictive capabilities of DTC genetic tests for cardiovascular disease.
- Examination of risk models used in DTC testing and their underlying assumptions.
- Assessment of the impact of genetic testing on clinical recommendations for preventive interventions.
Main Results:
- Current predictive ability of DTC genetic tests for cardiovascular disease is limited.
- Risk models employed by DTC companies often rely on unverified assumptions.
- Genetic risk predictions are dynamic and subject to change with new variant discoveries.
- DTC tests fail to incorporate crucial non-genetic risk factors.
- Test results do not typically alter current preventive recommendations.
Conclusions:
- Predictive genetic testing for multifactorial cardiovascular diseases currently offers no clear public benefit.
- Disease prevention strategies should prioritize family history and modifiable non-genetic risk factors like diet and physical activity.
- Focusing on lifestyle interventions provides the strongest impact on cardiovascular disease risk, irrespective of genetic predisposition.
Abstract:
Expectations are high that increasing knowledge of the genetic basis of cardiovascular disease will eventually lead to personalised medicine-to preventive and therapeutic interventions that are targeted to at-risk individuals on the basis of their genetic profiles. Most cardiovascular diseases are caused by a complex interplay of many genetic variants interacting with many non-genetic risk factors such as diet, exercise, smoking and alcohol consumption. Since several years, genetic susceptibility testing for cardiovascular diseases is being offered via the internet directly to consumers. We discuss five reasons why these tests are not useful, namely: (1) the predictive ability is still limited; (2) the risk models used by the companies are based on assumptions that have not been verified; (3) the predicted risks keep changing when new variants are discovered and added to the test; (4) the tests do not consider non-genetic factors in the prediction of cardiovascular disease risk; and (5) the test results will not change recommendations of preventive interventions. Predictive genetic testing for multifactorial forms of cardiovascular disease clearly lacks benefits for the public. Prevention of disease should therefore remain focused on family history and on non-genetic risk factors as diet and physical activity that can have the strongest impact on disease risk, regardless of genetic susceptibility.
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