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Published on: November 27, 2019
Predictors of outcome in acute-on-chronic liver failure in children
Jeevan Lal1, B R Thapa, Pawan Rawal
1Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Post Graduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, 160012, India.
Insights
Predicting survival in pediatric acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is crucial. The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score and International Normalized Ratio (INR) effectively predict outcomes in children with ACLF.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Hepatology
- Critical Care Medicine
- Gastroenterology
Background:
- Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) in children carries a high mortality risk.
- Limited data exists on survival predictors for pediatric ACLF.
- This study aimed to identify key prognostic factors in children with ACLF.
Purpose of the Study:
- To prospectively investigate predictors of outcome in pediatric ACLF.
- To establish reliable indicators for survival in children diagnosed with ACLF.
Main Methods:
- Prospective evaluation of 31 children (1-16 years) meeting APASL 2008 ACLF criteria.
- Assessment of etiology, diagnosis, and severity using the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score.
- Correlation analysis between various clinical variables and patient outcomes.
Main Results:
- Autoimmune hepatitis and Wilson disease were common underlying conditions (41.9% each).
- Hepatitis A virus (HAV) superinfection was the most frequent cause of acute decompensation (41.9%).
- Multivariate analysis identified SOFA score and International Normalized Ratio (INR) as significant predictors of survival.
Conclusions:
- Pediatric ACLF has a significant mortality rate of 19.4%, primarily due to multiorgan or liver failure.
- The SOFA score and INR are valuable tools for predicting outcomes in pediatric ACLF.
- These findings can aid in clinical decision-making and patient management for pediatric ACLF.
Background And Aims:
Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is associated with a high mortality rate in the absence of liver transplantation. There is limited data on predictors of survival in ACLF in children. Therefore, we prospectively studied the predictors of outcome of ACLF in children.
Methods:
A prospective evaluation of 31 children in the age group of 1-16 years who fulfilled the criteria for ACLF according to Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) 2008 consensus was done. All consecutive children were evaluated for etiology, diagnosis and severity of ACLF. For grading of organ dysfunction, the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score was calculated. SOFA constitutes the parameters of respiration, coagulation, cardiovascular system, central nervous system, and renal and liver functions. We evaluated possible correlation between outcomes and different variables.
Results:
Of the 31 children who fulfilled the criteria for ACLF, the common underlying chronic liver diseases (CLD) were autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) in 41.9% and Wilson disease in 41.9% of the patients. Superinfection with hepatitis A virus (HAV) (41.9%) was the most common etiology of acute deterioration. To find the best predictor for outcome, linear regression analysis was performed. Multivariate analysis revealed that the SOFA score and the International Normalized Ratio (INR) were predictors of survival. Six (19.4%) patients died. Causes of death were multiorgan failure in four and liver failure in two patients.
Conclusion:
The mortality in ACLF is 19.4% and the causes of death were multiorgan failure and liver failure. The SOFA score and INR were predictors of outcome of ACLF in children.
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