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Climate change or land use dynamics: do we know what climate change indicators indicate?
Miguel Clavero1, Daniel Villero, Lluís Brotons
1Grup d'Ecologia del Paisatge, Àrea de Biodiversitat, Centre Tecnològic Forestal de Catalunya, Solsona, Catalonia, Spain. miguelito.clavero@gmail.com
Land use changes significantly impact biodiversity indicators, potentially masking or altering climate change signals. Understanding these interactions is crucial for accurately assessing climate change effects on ecosystems.
Area of Science:
- Ecology
- Biodiversity Science
- Environmental Change
Background:
- Global change drivers interact, affecting biodiversity and complicating climate change detection.
- Biodiversity indicators may be influenced by land use dynamics unrelated to climate change.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate if land use changes affect climate change indicators.
- To analyze the influence of land use dynamics on community-level climate change indicators.
Main Methods:
- Utilized three community-level indicators based on bird species' optimal thermal environment and distribution latitude.
- Employed multiple regression models linking indicators to temperature and landscape gradients (land abandonment, fire, urbanization).
Main Results:
- Landscape gradients influenced climate change indicators as strongly as temperature.
- Forest habitats supported bird communities with colder-dwelling species and more northern distributions compared to other land uses.
Conclusions:
- Land use changes can distort the perception of climate change impacts via biodiversity indicators.
- Incorporating climate change and land use interactions is essential for accurate impact assessment.
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