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Published on: June 10, 2025
High-normal albuminuria and risk of heart failure in the community
Saul Blecker1, Kunihiro Matsushita, Anna Köttgen
1Division of General Internal Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD 21287, USA. sblecker@jhmi.edu
Insights
Albuminuria, even at high-normal levels, significantly increases heart failure risk. This association persists even in individuals with few cardiovascular risk factors, suggesting broader implications beyond kidney or heart disease.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Nephrology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Albuminuria is a known cardiovascular risk factor.
- The association between high-normal albuminuria and heart failure risk is not well-established.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the relationship between urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) and incident heart failure.
- To determine if high-normal UACR levels predict heart failure risk.
Main Methods:
- Prospective observational study of 10,975 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.
- Urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) categorized into optimal, intermediate-normal, high-normal, microalbuminuria, and macroalbuminuria.
- Incident heart failure defined as hospitalization or death; Cox proportional hazard models used for analysis, adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR).
Main Results:
- Follow-up median of 8.3 years with 344 heart failure events.
- Progressively increased heart failure risk observed with increasing UACR categories compared to normal UACR.
- Adjusted Hazard Ratios (HR) for heart failure ranged from 1.54 (intermediate-normal) to 3.47 (macroalbuminuria).
Conclusions:
- Albuminuria is associated with subsequent heart failure, even within the normal UACR range.
- The findings suggest that the link between albuminuria and heart failure may involve mechanisms beyond ischemic heart disease or kidney disease (eGFR).
- UACR measurement from a single random sample may be sufficient for risk assessment.
Background:
Albuminuria has been associated with cardiovascular risk, but the relationship of high-normal albuminuria to subsequent heart failure has not been well established.
Study Design:
Prospective observational study, the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.
Setting & Participants:
10,975 individuals free from heart failure were followed up from the fourth ARIC Study visit (1996-1998) through January 2006.
Predictor:
Urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR), analyzed continuously and categorically as optimal (<5 mg/g), intermediate-normal (5-9 mg/g), high-normal (10-29 mg/g), microalbuminuria (30-299 mg/g), and macroalbuminuria (≥300 mg/g).
Outcomes & Measurements:
Incident heart failure was defined as a heart failure-related hospitalization or death. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate the HR of heart failure after adjustment for age, race, sex, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and other cardiovascular risk factors.
Results:
Individuals were followed up for a median of 8.3 years and experienced 344 heart failure events. Compared with normal UACR, albuminuria was associated with a progressively increased risk of heart failure from intermediate-normal (adjusted HR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.12-2.11) and high-normal UACR (adjusted HR, 1.91; 95% CI, 1.38-2.66) to microalbuminuria (adjusted HR, 2.49; 95% CI, 1.77-3.50) and macroalbuminuria (adjusted HR, 3.47; 95% CI, 2.10-5.72). Results were similar in secondary analyses of participants censored at the time of coronary heart disease event and along a range of eGFRs.
Limitations:
UACR was measured as a single random sample.
Conclusions:
Albuminuria is associated with subsequent heart failure, even in individuals with few cardiovascular risk factors and UACR within the normal range. Our results suggest that the association between albuminuria and heart failure may not be mediated fully by ischemic heart disease or kidney disease, measured using eGFR.
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